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England Premier League : Sunderland - Wigan

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England Premier League : Sunderland - Wigan
Championship England, England
29/09/2012
16:00
total goals Under 2.5 Goals 1.91 Bet at William Hill
Betting prediction was written by Anton

SUNDERLAND – WIGAN STATS

Sunderland has drawn all 4 of their matches so far.  They will be pleased with some of the games, especially the 0-0 draw against Arsenal at the Emirates and 3 of the 4 games have been away from home.  They have scored in their past 3 games.

Wigan have lost 3 of their first 5 games and won just one.  In their past 3 games they have scored 3 goals and conceded 8, not winning any of the games.


TEAM NEWS AND RUN OF PLAY

Sunderland will be without Carlos Cuellar for the second match after he picked up an injury against Liverpoool, he has been replaced by Titus Bramble and I’d expect him to continue this week.  Wes Brown and Phil Bardsley are two long term injuries which also weaken the Sunderland defence.

Sunderland have relied on the goals of Steven Fletcher since his €15m move from Wolves, he has scored 4 in his first 3 games for the club.  Which is every goal Sunderland have scored in the EPL this season.

Wigan have struggled lately, not managing a win in 3 games.  They have a full strength team to choose from so have no excuses on the injury front.  Is it just a bad run of form or could it be teams figuring out the shortcomings of their 3 at the back system?  The wingers Sunderland use, especially McLean, are excellent against a 3 at the back system.  They will aim to pin the fullbacks back which will cut off any width in the Wigan attacks or drag the centre backs out to the wings where they are not comfortable defending.

1X2 BET SUNDERLAND – WIGAN PREVIEW

Sunderland are favourites as the home side and are best priced at just above evens but I think the really value is in the shock result.

Stan James is offering a huge 4.5 on a Wigan win which I feel is too high.  Rather than the 22% chance that gives them I feel they have a 25% chance on current information.

Click here to make the bet.

ASIAN HANDICAP PREDICTIONS

If you don’t feel confident enough to back the Wigan win outright then let’s turn to the AH market where we can profit on either a Wigan win or draw.

Wigan +0.5 is an excellent 1.86 with Ladbrokes which I feel is a strong bet.

TOTAL GOALS PREDICTIONS

Not a huge amount of goals are expected in this match as you would imagine.  Sunderland have had just one of their 4 games end with over 2.5 Goals this year , although Wigan have had 3 of their 5 end over.

I think the value is in the under here at a very generous 1.91 with William Hill.  Click here to put the bet on.

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