Viktoria Plzen v Napoli prediction

Match	Date	Selection	Bet	Odds	Bet now
Viktoria Plzen v Napoli prediction Europa League Uefa, International	21/02/2013 21:05	full time result	Plzen	2.38	Bet at Betfair
Betting prediction was written by Ronny

 

Napoli rested several players in the first leg, and were really poor. Lots of chances went begging and Plzen punished the home side severely on the break. 3-0 should be enough for the Czech side to start the celebration, shouldn’t it? Read on to find out.

Stats, Facts and News

Plzen coach Pavel Vrba should be able to pick from his best players. Napoli has Lorenzo Insigne (Striker) and Valon Behrami (Midfielder) fit again, so Walter Mazzarri has no excuses. 

Plzen is in the middle of the Winter break still, but is sitting top of the table in the Czech Liga.  At home they’re 5-2-1 this season with a goal difference of 14-5. To me this indicates they’re defending well, and converting chances even better. Those are excellent stats. In the Europa League they’re undefeated in all of 2012’s seven matches (Including Qualification). The goal difference was a massive 17-2! They managed five clean sheets in those seven games. Again, this team knows how to play!

Napoli is 6-3-3 away from home (16-10). In the Europa League Napoli is 1-0-2 this season away from home. Both PSV and Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk scored three against them. Young Swedish side AIK was beaten 2-1. Napoli rested the big guns throughout the group stages. They did the same in the first leg of this battle. Hamsik is definitely ruled out, but here is the squad: De Sanctis, Rosati, Crispino, Britos,  Campagnaro, Cannavaro, Gamberini, Grava, Rolando, Behrami, Donadel, Dzemaili, El Kaddouri, Inler, Maggio, Mesto, Zuniga, Calaiò, Cavani, Insigne, Pandev. 

Betting predictions

Napoli has their eyes on the Scudetto trophy. For them it is obvious that it’s the Serie A that matters. They’re trailing Juventus by four points, and I can’t imagine they will field their best side here to try to overcome a 0-3 scoreline. 

I am pretty sure they will field a side hungry to play football in order to show off for the coach. Against a super tight and skillful Czech side Napoli's hope will be crushed! No matter what side Napoli fields this is the biggest game for Plzen so far this season no matter what. They’ll be eager to impress. Clear home win shout!

Edit: The odds we used in this prediction earlier is gone.  11/8 (2.38) is still available though at Betfair. Paddy power has moved the odds from 2.40 (7/5) to 2.20 (6/5). 2.38 is still more than plenty even if Napoli is fielding a good eleven tonight.

• Bet now at Betfair

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