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Atalanta v Roma predictions

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Atalanta v Roma predictions
Serie A Italy, Italy
24/02/2013
15:00
full time result Draw 3.40 Bet at Coral
Betting prediction was written by Ronny

 

Atalanta is really in a poor run of form with 2-3-5 in their last Serie A fixtures. At home Atalanta is 1-3-2 in their last six, and 5-3-4 over the course of the season. To make matters worse. Atalanta will miss January signing Cristiano Del Grosso (Defender) through suspension. Another defender, Bellini is not fit to play. He came back after injury last match day, but was taken off again. Cigarini (Midfielder is not available yet after missing since the end of January). Midfielders Bonaventura and Biondini both return after suspension.
 
Roma is 1-1-4 away from home in their last six, and has been very unstable alltogether. They are excellent in attack but leak goals at the back. They did get a great win over Juventus last match day (at home). In that game they also managed a clean sheet. They will be spurred on by that. On a not so bright note; they will miss both Totti and Daniele De Rossi. Both are suspended. Obviously those are excellent players. Out of the two De Rossi is the one that is hardest to replace. Both Destro (Striker) and Castan (Defender) are out still with injury too.
 
Last season Atalanta won 4-1.Atalanta deserved the win, but it must be said Roma got a sending off (Osvaldo) when the score was 2-1 for Atalanta. Then another sending off late in the game. Osvaldo was sent off in the reverse fixture as well, but Roma was already 3-0 up. That also was the final, and deserved score after 90 minutes.
 

Betting tips

 
Atalanta will try to stay compact, work hard and unsettle Roma. In their last four home games they havn't impressed anyone with only four goals, and very defensive play.
Roma will still have Osvaldo and Lamela scoring the goals for them, so I do think the home side will need two goals or more to win it. I just can't see that happening.
 
Having eliminated the home win, I go for the draw. Mainly because Denis will get more support from midfield in the form of Bonaventura. Atalanta has slightly more to offer going forward now.
 
Coral offers 3.40 (12/5) for the draw. I think that's excellent value. To sweeten the deal further Coral offers a free bet of £50 to new customers.
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