England Championship: Middlesbrough v Derby

Match	Date	Selection	Bet	Odds	Bet now
England Championship: Middlesbrough v Derby Championship England, England	03/10/2012 20:45	total goals	Over 2.5 goals	1.97	Bet at Betfair
Betting prediction was written by Dan Adair

MIDDLESBOROUGH - DERBY PREDICTION STATS

Middlesborough P8 W4 D0 L4 Pts 12 GF12 GA14 GD-2 - Average goals per game:3.25
Derby P8 W3 D2 L3 Pts 11 GF13 GA11 GD-3 - Average goals per game: 3.38

TEAM NEWS AND RUN OF PLAY

Middlesborough are on a crazy run, alternating between wins and losses over the last 6 games. They have the core players to make up a good side and individually have a strong backline, they just cannot seem to get it together. Last time out they generally struggled against a superior Leicester side. Middlesborough are capable of pulling out results though and especially at home. Mowbray hasn't exactly been helped by a succession of injury problems this term, although that won't stop him from tinkering with his line-up if he feels he needs to. Jonathan Woodgate , Adam Reach and Ishmael Miller are all expected to sit out this upcoming game as will Julio Arca and Mustapha Carayol.
Derby will hope to build on a good run of form that has seen them pick up three wins from the last five games, with the highlight being a 1-0 away win at hated local rivals Nottm Forest. Derby's top scorer Jamie Ward will miss the trip to Middlesbrough. Ward is likely to be the only change to Clough's starting eleven, both Michael Jacobs and Theo Robinson will hope to get the nod in Ward's absence.

1X2 PREDICTION

2.29 Middlesborough (Pinnacle) seems a huge price for the home side. Both teams are fairly evenly matched and are both capable of anything on their day. A price closer to 2.00 was expected here so the 2.29 is well worth a bet. With 3 wins from 4 at The Riverside the home team are selected to take all three points.

CLICK HERE To bet 2.29 Middlesborough (Pinnacle)

ASIAN HANDICAP PREDICTION

Middlesborough -0.50 (2.30 BetVictor) is a great bet for the home side. Middlesborough have a real goal threat and like to attack at The Riverside were all but a very strong Leicester side have left pointless. 2.30 is a huge price for the home side and one that needs to be taken here.

CLICK HERE To bet 2.30 Middlesborough -0.50 (BetVictor)

TOTAL GOALS PREDICTION

Over 2.50 1.97 (188) is the bet here. A bit obvious in Championship games but the sheer goals per game for both teams means this is a very good price. 7 from the last 10 games involving the teams playing today have gone over 2.50 goals so its for sure the value bet here. With two poor defences the overs line should collect here. Early moves already too reinforce the bet, which should surely be the favourite in this market.

CLICK HERE To bet Over 2.5 goals at 1.97 (Betfair)