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Ligue 1 : Evian - Lorient

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Ligue 1 : Evian - Lorient
Ligue 1, France
29/09/2012
20:00
full time result Evian Win 2.6 Bet at Stan James
Betting prediction was written by Anton

TEAM NEWS AND RUN OF PLAY

Evian is in a much poorer form than their guest of the day. They took only 4 points in 6 games, and have as many points as the 18th and 19th. They might spend the whole season in the last 5 positions, as they are amongst the favorites to go down to the Ligue 2 next season.  Home, they are not so bad though, with one win over Bastia, one draw against Lyon, and a loss against Bordeaux in the season’s opening game.

Lorient is doing very well so far, being the traditional surprise team of the beginning of the season. They are currently 4th, and are still undefeated. Despite losing their best players season after season, they are smart enough to always find the proper players to replace the ones who left. This season’s very good pick is their striker Alain Traoré, along with Benjamin Corgnet who could have signed for Liverpool or Arsenal few months ago.

1X2 BET EVIAN - LORIENT PREVIEW

Bookmakers are expecting a really tight game. The home win is set @ 2.6 with Stan James, the draw is @ 3.18 with Pinnacle, and Lorient’s win is set @ 3.12 still with Pinnacle. After having checked the league’s ranking, it is hard to understand why Lorient is so high. Mainly because they are playing away and probably because Evian beat them twice last season (2-1 home and 0-1 away). Even though a draw is very likely, and Lorient’s run will have to stop at some point, the value is clearly on their side, as we could have expected an odd of around 2.6.

ASIAN HANDICAP PREDICTIONS

An interesting handicap with a good odd is Lorient +0, a draw no bet, set @2.16 with Pinnacle and 188bet. The opposite result, Brest +0 is set @ 1.78 with BetVictor. As we said earlier, a draw is not to be excluded so you would have your money back, while enjoying a nice odd for Lorient.

TOTAL GOALS PREDICTIONS

Pinnacle has the best odd for the under 2.5 goals, set @ 1.69. If you want to back the Over 2.5 goals, the same book offers an odd of 2.26. It is not far from being a coin flip to me as those two teams are totally opposite on this market. Evian remained under that cut in 4 of their 6 games, while Lorient went over 5 times. I would stay away from that market as it is always difficult to know how the game will be between a very defensive team, and an offensive one who like to play.

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