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Valenciennes v Marseille predictions and betting tips

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Valenciennes v Marseille predictions and betting tips
Ligue 1, France
24/08/2013
17:00
total goals over 2.5 2.25 Bet at B
Betting prediction was written by tiketitan

Valenciennes v Marseille predictions and betting tips

Valenciennes are hosting Marseille in this third round Ligue 1 match. Valenciennes finished last season on 11th place, and this season they are expected to end up around middle of table or just below the middle. Their first two matches ended with one win and one loss, they won their first match 3-0 at home against Toulouse, and then they lost 2-0 away to Bastia. The match against Bastia was a fairly even affair stats-wise, as Valenciennes had 50% of the possession, slightly less attempts on goal but one more shot on target. But Bastia was the better team overall and received the highest player rankings, with man of the match Yatabare (right midfielder). For Valenciennes the best player was central defender Lala, whereas goalie Penneteau did not have a good match and made an error leading to the first goal.

Marseille finished runner-up last season, and this season they will fight in the top, but most expect PSG and Monaco to be too tough, leaving Marseille the favourite for the third position. They have started the season very good, winning both matches so far. The first match was won 3-1 away to Guingamp, and the second 2-0 at home to Evian TG. So not really that great opposition, but still solid and will only boost their confidence. In the match against Evian TG they had 51% possession, but only eight attempts and three shots on target, so they were effective getting two goals. Evian had 16 attempts and four shots on target. The Marseille players performed overall on a higher level than Evian, and man of the match was Marseille goalie Mandanda, other solid performances came from Morel (left defender) and Diawara (central defender). Right attacking midfielder Payet did well too and scored the second goal. 

Valenciennes v Marseille predictions

This fixture last season ended in a very surprising 4-1 victory to Valenciennes, Valenciennes were leading 3-0 at halftime and Marseille only got the one goal in 90th minute. Marseille had 61% possession, but they were poor at finishing and made too many individual errors. The last six encounters have ended with two wins for Valenciennes, three draws, and one Marseille win, and half of the matches with over 2.5 goals. Overall they have met each other fourteen times, four Valenciennes wins, five draws, and five Marseille wins. Valenciennes were the ninth best home team last season, with W9 D6 L4. Marseille were the second best away team last season, with W9 D4 L6.

Valenciennes v Marseille betting tips for Asian handicap

This looks to be a tough match, Marseille is the best team overall, but Valenciennes have a good record against Marseille. Marseille still have some work to do with their defensive play, as Evian 16 attempts and Marseille goalie was man of match indicate. I fancy the Valenciennes +0.25 at 2.0 with Bet365.

Valenciennes v Marseille betting tips for total goals

Each team has played one of two matches with over 2.5 goals, the goal average for Valenciennes is 2.5 and for Marseille it is 3.0. The team’s last six encounters have ended with half of them over 2.5 goals, and five of last six encounters with Valenciennes at home have been over 2.5 goals. I therefore go for over 2.5 goals at odds 5/4 (2.25) with Bet365.

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