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Dortmund v Hamburg SV (HSV) prediction

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Dortmund v Hamburg SV (HSV) prediction
Bundesliga, Germany
09/02/2013
15:30
asian handicap HSV +1.5 2.19 Bet at 188bet
Betting prediction was written by Ronny

 

Dortmund got off to a lousy start this Bundesliga campaign, but now they’re back to winning ways! After 20 Bundesliga matches so far this season Dortmund is 11 points ahead of Hamburg SV. HSV looks to be the mid table team we thought they'd be this season, but the ball is round, and this is a special game. Read on, the predictions of this preview might surprise you.

The form table says four straight Bundesliga wins for Dortmund. At home they are 5-2-2 so far this Bundesliga season. Hamburg SV (HSV) is 2-4-4 away! Form wise they’re 1-1-1 after the winter break. The reverse fixture between the two sides this season ended 3-2 in Favor of Hamburg SV. Dortmund was however the better side in that match. The last two Bundesliga games at home against HSV have yielded two goal superiority wins for Dortmund.

Team News

Dortmund has no suspensions or injury worries. Hamburg SV has regular midfielder Badelj suspended for this game.  Mancienne is out still (defender). Bits and parts players Illcevic, Sala (midfielders) and Lam (Defender) are out.

Betting Prediction

Dortmund has a very important Champions League clash with Shakthar Donetsk coming up this midweek. As Dortmund realistically can’t expect to catch Bayern Munchen this season (13 points behind) in the Bundesliga, this might be one of those games the Favorite is less motivated. Klopp might even choose to rest some of his stars. Should he decide to do so; he can call upon exceptional talent also from the bench.

The odds on offer in the betting market do not really reflect what I have covered so far in this preview. Dortmund is priced at around 1/5 to 2/7 (1.20 - 1.28). I think that’s useless given the uncertainty in motivation, or expectations for the game after this one. Surely the players are affected by this to some degree.

Instead of the 1X2 odds I look to the Asian Handicaps. Liverpool FC’s Offical betting partner 188bet offers 2.19 for HSV +1.5 goals. I am aware this fixture has ended with two goal wins for Dortmund, but given this extraordinary setting that surely must be a nice price.

Take Hamburg SV +1.5 goals at 2.19 (119/100)here

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