Mainz v Bayern Munich - live bet on Bayern

Match	Date	Selection	Bet	Odds	Bet now
Mainz v Bayern Munich - live bet on Bayern Bundesliga, Germany	26/09/2015 15:30	asian handicap	Bayern -1.75	TBD	Bet at B
Betting prediction was written by Ronny

Mainz has started the season pretty much according to pre-season expectations, as they are in ninth place with three wins and three losses. Some key players left before the season, and the club does not have the financial muscles needed to bring in established star players. At home they lost the first match 0-1 against Ingolstadt, and have won 3-1 and 3-0 against Hannover and Hoffenheim (the two teams currently at the bottom of the table). On away field they have had tough opposition, they beat Borussia Monchengladback that has struggled form-wise, and lost to the better teams Schalke and Bayer Leverkusen. For today’s match they have no new injuries or suspensions, and only the central midfielder Fabian Frei is out of the ones that could have started the match.

Bayern Munich is the best team in the league, without a doubt. They have six wins in six matches, and a goal difference of 20-3, and the team under Guardialo has peformed just as well as expected. Last weekend they met the number two of last season, Wolfsburg, and Bayern won that one 5-1 after five goals by Lewandowski in nine minutes (he was a substitute)! By winning that match they got revenge for the loss in the German Super cup, and they proved that they can be deadly efficient. They also won 3-0 away to Olympiakos in the first match of the Champions League group stage, without really impressing. Next week they will host Dinamo Zagreb, a match they are expected to win easily. Bayern Munich has no new injuries or suspensions to report. The world class players Robben and Ribery are still out, and the same goes for defensive Badstuber, Benatia and Kirchoff. Javi Martinez is back again though.

Since and including 2013 Bayern has won this fixture three out of three times. Two of the matches were won by two or more goals, at the same time as Mainz has not been able to score. Last fixture ended 1-2. Mainz will have to go for the counter-attacks, because as we know very well Bayern will keep possession and keep grinding in attack, and we doubt that Guardiola will underestimate the home team. In order to get decent odds on Bayern we have to go up to the -2 Asian handicap line, which is around 13/10 at the moment. This seems a bit too much to bet on at the moment against a decent Mainz, and I am more interesting in the -1.75 at around 19/20. My strategy will be to watch the match live and if things look as described above and Bayern has not scored within 10-15, then I will go for Bayern Munich -1.75 at odds above 1/1 (2.00) with BET365.

 

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