Werder Bremen v Mainz 05 predictions

Match	Date	Selection	Bet	Odds	Bet now
Werder Bremen v Mainz 05 predictions Bundesliga, Germany	04/11/2012 18:30	total goals	Over 2.5	1.74	Bet at Betfair
Betting prediction was written by Ronny

Werder Bremen v Mainz 05 predictions: Stats

Werder Bremen is 3-2-4, with a goal average of 3.22 goals per game. Form wise Werder Bremen is D-W-L-L-W-D. At home Werder Bremen is 2-1-1, with a goal average of 3.00 goals per game. Half the Werder Bremen home games so far were over 2.5 goals. The other half had two goals exactly per game. Bremen has managed two clean sheets at home this season.

Mainz 05 is 4-2-3, with a goal average of 2.44 goals per game. Form wise Mainz 05 is W-D-W-W-L-W. Away from home Mainz is 1-2-2, with a goal average of 3.75 goals per game. Three out of four away games so far were over 2.5 goals, and Leverkusen has only managed one clean sheet this season away from home. It must be said that Mainz have had very tough games so far meeting Bayern Munchen, Schalke 04 and Leverkusen.

The last three times the two clubs have met in this fixture it has ended 1-0-2. Two out of the three matches went over 2.5 goals. Last season Mainz won 3-0 in a game

Run of play and team news

On paper the Werder Bremen squad looks better equipped than the guests. In other words; this is another tough away fixture for Mainz. Mainz 05 has been a decent Bundesliga side for some time now, and allthough they don't rack up big name players they play an effective brand of football. They seem to have drilled in the importance of a ferrocious defence and quality in attack. They often have half the number of shots fired versus the opposition, but they seem to take care of their chances. Ádám Szalai has been their brightest light offensively with seven goals in nine starts, but also Austrian Andreas Ivanschitz has done well with two goals and four assists.

Werder Bremen has a very deep squad in all areas of the pitch, with plenty of experienced internationals available. So far I would say Werder Bremen has been underperforming. It's especially the defending that has been poor. Offensively Werder Bremen do really well. Especially Kevin De Bruyne with three goals and two assists, Marko Arnautović with four assists and one goal, Nils Petersen with three goals and two assists, and Aaron Hunt with three goals and two assists have reason to be satisfied. Eljero Elija is another talented man in their squad, but so far he hasn't managed to contribute with goals. One assist so far is all from the Dutch winger.

For Werder Bremen Zlatko Junuzović is ruled out due to suspension. The same reason is sidelining Mainz 05's Julian Baumgartlinger. Both Austrians.

I think this will be a game where Werder Bremen is controlling about 55% of the possession. Perhaps more if they don't get a lead in the first half. If Mainz should score first I think we could even see up to 60% Werder Bremen possession. Both sides have shown they can convert their chances, and between them they have produced some high scoring games. It should be an entertaining game to watch.

Werder Bremen v Mainz 05 predictions: 1X2 Preview

The home side looks best on paper, but are defensively subpar at the moment. The suspension of Junuzović doesn't help either. He has been in good form lately. Mainz are a through and through solid team, high on spirit and never easy to play against. I like the away win here. The odds have already dropped some on the away win, but 3.75 with Boyle Sports is absolutely worth taking.

Click here to go to Boyle Sports and take Mainz at 3.75

Werder Bremen - Mainz 05 predictions: Asian Handicap Preview

Obviously a tight handicap is preferred. I am considering Mainz +1.5 priced at 1.27 with Bet365. I can't see how Mainz should fall apart and lose this game with two goals plus. Given the home team leakage of goals, Mainz can easily score in this fixture. Nothing is a "safe bet", but this looks like good interest.

Want to follow my predictions? Click here to go to Bet365

Werder Bremen - Mainz 05 predictions: Total Goals Preview

Both sides have defence focused players out, and the home side is leaking goals at both ends. The historical results between the teams indicate goals as well. No wonder the Over 2.5 goal line is priced at around 1.60 - 1.74. The 1.74 looks good. Betfair is the provider.

If you agree with this prediction: Click here to take the 1.74 on Over 2.5 goals

Rounding it off

I hope this Werder Bremen - Mainz 05 preview was informative and helpful. If you want more betting predictions like this one, just click here: Betting Predictions from Howtobet.net

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