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Lille v Bayern predictions

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Lille v Bayern predictions
Champions League Uefa, International
23/10/2012
20:45
full time result Bayern win 1.53 Bet at Ladbrokes
Betting prediction was written by Matt

Lille v Bayern predictions and preview: Betting stats

Lille are a very disappointing 11th in Ligue 1 with 11 points from their opening 9 games at a draw-heavy record of W2 D5 L2. Their recent league form is DDLWD. In the Champions League they have been equally poor with 0 points from their opening two games; a 3-1 defeat at home to BATE and a 2-0 defeat in Valencia. Their league games have averaged just 2.44 goals with 3 exceeding 2.5 goals and 6 with fewer. They have not had a game with less than 2 goals this season.

Bayern are top of the Bundesliga with an impeccable 24 points from their opening 8 games; a new league record. In the CL they are 3rd in Group F on goal difference after a 2-1 home win against Valencia and a 3-1 away defeat at BATE. Their league games average 3.50 goals which is fairly normal for Germany this season with 5 over 2.5 goals and 3 under. They also have had no games with less than 2 goals.

Team News and Run of Play

Rio Mavuba will be out for Lille for the foreseeable future after damaging his knee in a recent game while captain and top performer Mathieu Debuchy will miss this game after being sent off in the defeat in Spain last time out. Bayern are still missing Raeder (knee), Gomez (ankle) and Contento (foot) although the latter is back in training. Robben is a doubt after missing the most recent domestic fixture and the internationals with muscle tightness. David Alaba rejoined the squad at the weekend.

Lille are definitely not the same side without their former star man Eden Hazard. His departure to Chelsea in the summer has led to a downturn in form for LOSC and despite their new stadium they haven’t delighted their home crowd so far this season. They aren’t scoring the goals they need to turn draws into wins with just one CL goal this season and no player with more than 2 Ligue 1 goals.

Bayern have set records so far this season and apart from their defeat to BATE are unbeaten in all competitions since last season when they missed out on lifting the famous Champions League trophy on penalties to Chelsea. Mandzukic and Muller have taken up the scoring mantle from injured Mario Gomez and have 8 and 7 domestic goals respectively. They are being well aided by the likes of Schweinsteiger and Kroos who, along with Franck Ribery, are the scorers of Bayern’s 3 CL goals.

For me this game could be a stroll in the park for Bayern, but the Champions League isn’t designed to be easy, even for the best teams. They have controlled games so far, even against BATE, and have a tournament joint highest average possession with Barcelona of 68%. They clearly need to utilise their fantastic attacking threat and create some more opportunities for their strikers, who don’t have European goals yet this season.

Lille v Bayern predictions: 1X2 betting preview

I don’t like to use the phrase “no brainer” but for me this should be a clear Bayern win. They have been in imperious form this season and I expect the lack of a captain for Lille and the absence of any real attacking threat means that the bet here is on a Bayern win.

It may be short but 1.53 with Ladbrokes on an away win looks a bet to me.

Lille v Bayern predictions: Asian Handicap preview

Seeing Bayern’s match price and predicting a good win for them suggests that the bet here is Bayern (-1) which is 1.84 with 188bet. If they win by the narrowest of margins you get your stake returned but I think they should win it by at least 2 goals and that would represent a good return on your investment.

If you can see a clear Bayern win, bet it here.

Lille v Bayern predictions: Total Goals preview

Germany know how to score goals; the German players for Bayern know how to score goals. They were unlucky against BATE as they came up against a goalkeeper at the top of his game and they showed they know where the goal is at the weekend, smashing 5 past Fortuna Dusseldorf away from home. For me the value lies in over 2.5 goals at 1.90 with BetVictor.

Do you see a few goals for the Germans? Back the overs here.

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