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Valencia v BATE Borisov predictions

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Valencia v BATE Borisov predictions
Champions League Uefa, International
07/11/2012
20:45
full time result Valencia 1.29 Bet at Ladbrokes
Betting prediction was written by Ronny

Valencia v BATE Borisov predictions: Stats and Facts

Valencia is 4-2-4 so far in La Liga, something that puts them in ninth position on the table. The goal average in the current campaign is 2.50 goals per game. Form wise Valencia is WWLWWL (4-0-2).

At home in Valencia is WWWWWL (5-0-1; including Champions League). The goal average in these six matches was 3.33. 3 of those games were over 2.5 goals, and Valencia has scored two or more goals in 6 out of 6. Furthermore, Valencia managed a clean sheet in 3 out of 6.

In the Champions League, Valencia is WWWDDW (4-2-0) in their last six home games. The goal average was 4 goals per game. It must be said this figure includes a 6-1 thrashing of Bursaspor and a 7-0 demolition of Genk. Four out of six went over 2.5 however, and Valencia scored 2+ four out of six.

Group F in this year’s edition of the Champions League is very even. BATE Borisov, Bayern Munich and Valencia are all at 6 points in three matches played. Valencia opened this campaign with a 2-1 loss away to Bayern before they went on to beat Valencia 2-0 at home and BATE Borisov 3-0 away in a game where Soldado scored a hat-trick.

BATE Borisov is currently leading the Belarussian Premier League with 19-4-4 in 27 games. The goal average in these games was 2.15. Form wise BATE Borisov is LWLWLW (3-0-3) in all competitive matches. The goal average in these games was 2.17 goals.

Away from home, BATE Borisov is LWWDWW (4-1-1; in all competitions) with a goal average of 2.17 per game. 3 out of 6 went over 2.5 goals, and BATE managed three clean sheets as well as 3 matches with 2 goals+ scored.

So far in the Champions League BATE has notched an impressive home win versus Bayern Munchen and a solid 3-1 away victory to Lille. Last time around they ended their massive run and got down to earth with a 3-0 loss at home to Valencia. 


Run of play and team news

Valencia should see around 60% possession time here. I am fairly sure BATE coach Goncharenko will focus on a tight defence as he learnt last time around that trying to go toe to toe with Valencia can be lethal for his side, a side that consists more or less only of homegrown players. The recipie for the visitors will be blistering speed counter attacks. Who can blame the man, so far it has worked pretty well for them. To score 3 goals both against Lille and Bayern Munich is quite impressive. They got plenty of players who can contribute going forward, and they're technically very educated. Valencia will have to work hard to break BATE Borisov's defence.

Valencia, has improved their form dramatically and at Mestalla they are tough for any opponent. Valencia has class in every sector of the pitch. Their defence and midfield has a very high La Liga standard, and Valencia are fortunate to have a player like Soldado up front. He is a massive attacking force. Valencia will be high on confidence from the win in the reverse tie, and their historic results in Europe.

Edit: Roberto Solado is a doubt for this clash. This due to family issues. Should he not play Valencia has decent cover, but we will not be recommending caution in your betting on over 2.5 goals unless the line moves higher than what we picked at the time of writing.

Valencia v BATE Borisov predictions: 1x2 preview

WIth around 55-60% possession Valencia is capable enough to create a lot of chances. Looking at their home stats, I think it's fair to say they are likely to convert well. Given the strength of this team I am confident they will score, and I am also fairly sure they will score more than one. BATE Borisov has had a great run, but should not be a match for the top European clubs. I suspect they've been running well over EV in terms of goal conversion of chances created. Ladbrokes is offering 1.29 for the home win. I can't see why that shouldn't be a good bet.

1.29 for Valencia is found at Giant bookmaker Ladbrokes here

Valencia - BATE Borisov predictions: Asian Handicap preview

My preview so far clearly points toward Valencia teaching BATE Borisov a lesson. The Belarussians are likely to get a tough night, as the in-form home side attempts to slice and dice their defence. The 1.81 offered by ComeOn for Valencia -1.5 looks very interesting. From the stats above we can see Valencia at home frequently score two goals or more, and there is no statistical proof that BATE are good enough to limit Valencia's goal superiority if the home side fires on all cylinders. I like 1.81 here very much.

If you agree with my predictions: Valencia at 1.81 is found at ComeOn

Valencia - BATE Borisov predictions: Total Goals preview

Given my preview and predictions so far I am sure you know what I am about to conclude. Valencia to me is likely to score 2+, and yes; I do think they the third goal needed will come as well. This looks like an over 2.5 goals game to me. 188BET offers 1.75, and I am quite frankly happy with that price.

My prediction is over 2.5 goals. If you agree, just click here: 188BET, over 2.5 goals at 1.75

Rounding it off

I hope my Valencia - BATE Borisov predictions found you well. If you want to read more betting predictions like this one, just click here: Champions League predictions

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