Siena v Genoa predictions

Match	Date	Selection	Bet	Odds	Bet now
Siena v Genoa predictions Serie A Italy, Italy	04/11/2012 15:00	full time result	Siena win	2.2	Bet at Stan James
Betting prediction was written by Ian

SIENA v GENOA PREDICTIONS AND PREVIEW: BETTING STATS

Siena remain at the bottom of the table after losing 4-2 away to Cagliari on Wednesday night. That side are now on a decent run of form and a home win was anticipated. Genoa were beaten at home by Fiorentina the following evening. Genoa are now just four places and six points ahead of their opponents at the weekend. Matches involving these two sides have produced on average marginally less than 2.5 goals per game. However, that figure drops below two when only respective home and away matches are considered.

TEAM NEWS AND RUN OF PLAY

Siena were dominated by Inter Milan in terms of possession but still managed to win that match with two goals in the second half. They will be looking to achieve something similar against Genoa but dominate the attacking. Siena have the players to take advantage of fewer chances than the opposition but a greater share of the ball. Cagliari had a 61% share of the ball when beating Siena but possession should be more evenly spread in this match. Genoa had more shots on target than Fiorentina in that match but had less than 48% of the possession which suggests some efficiency in converting possession into scoring opportunities.

SIENA - GENOA PREDICTIONS: 1X2 BETTING PREVIEW

On current form this appears to be a contest between two evenly matched sides but Siena can make home advantage count and win this match. Their league position takes into account a deduction of six points and they have handled that disadvantage well. If they were to lose this match Siena would be at least four points behind the next worst positioned team and they will be reluctant to face such a deficit at a relatively early stage of the season. For Genoa Marco Borriello is a key player. He scored in their recent home game, a 1-1 draw with Palermo, in which they had a relatively low share of the ball for a home team that avoided defeat. Genoa will have few scoring opportunities in this match and will have to use a projected low share of the ball efficiently if they are to score a goal.

Take the 2.2 with Stan James for a Siena win.

SIENA - GENOA PREDICTIONS: ASIAN HANDICAP PREVIEW

This game looks like producing a narrow win for the home side. Without the six points deduction Siena would only be behind Genoa due to an inferior goal difference of just one goal. Both sides come to this match on the back of defeats during the week but Siena’s loss to Cagliari’s was better in terms of form than Genoa’s home defeat to Fiorentina. Siena can be backed giving up the minimum start which becomes a winning bet even if they win this game by just one goal. Beginners not familiar with Asian Handicap can find info here: http://howtobet.net/online-betting-guide/asian-handicap.

188Bet quote 1.91 for Siena -0.25.

SIENA - GENOA PREDICTIONS: TOTAL GOALS PREVIEW

All the relevant statistics point to a low scoring game so the recommendation is to back less than three. Correct score bettors may consider 1-0 to the home side and both teams not to score has some appeal. There have been just eight goals in Siena’s five home games and Genoa’s four matches on the road have produced just seven goals. This contest brings together low scoring and conceding sides so the obvious conclusion is to back under 2.5 goals.

Its 1.71 with Pinnacle Sports for less than three goals.