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La Liga Pimera : Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao

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La Liga Pimera : Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao
Primera Division Spain, Spain
29/09/2012
20:00
full time result Real Sociedad Win 2.4 Bet at Paddy Power
Betting prediction was written by Anton

REAL SOCIEDAD – ATHLETIC BILBAO STATS

Sociedad have won 3 of their 5 la liga games this year, losing the other 2.  3 of their 5 games have ended with over 2.5 goals.

Bilbao were thrashed in their first 2 games this year, losing by a combined score of 9-3.  Since then they are undefeated in 3, winning against Valladolid and drawing away at Espanyol and at home to Malaga.  3 of their 5 games have ended in over 2.5 Goals.

TEAM NEWS AND RUN OF PLAY

Sociedad still have 4 long term injuries in Agirretxe, Castro, Elustondo and Cadamuro and none will regain fitness for this game.  Sociedad will look at their strong home record, winning both their home league games so far, and feel they can get a win from this match.

Athletic had a terrible start to the season and are still looking a shadow of the side that reached the Europa League final last year and played some of the best football in Europe at times.  Fernando Llorente is finally back in the team and has come off the bench in the past 2 league games, he will be fit to start in this game.  They will still be without excellent midfielder Ander Herrera who is out for some time.

1X2 BET REAL SOCIEDAD – ATHLETIC BILBAO PREVIEW

I think we need to respect the home record of Sociedad this season with them beating Celta Vigo and Zaragoza.  They will have chances against a Bilbao defence who has given up 12 goals in 5 matches.

I think 2.4 for a Sociedad win is too high and will be backing it with Paddy Power.

ASIAN HANDICAP PREDICTIONS

I feel that despite Sociedad being value for the home win on the 1x2 market we have also seen some improvement with Bilbao with them being undefeated in their past 3 matches.  If you favour Bilbao then I think the AH+-, otherwise known as draw no bet could be a good option.

Pinnacle has Athletic +0 available at 2.35.  Click here to put the bet on.

TOTAL GOALS PREDICTIONS

The o/u market is very tight at 2.5.  The Under is a small favourite at 1.9 but I think the value here is in the over which you can get at 2.0.

Athletico have shown they can both score and concede this season, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.4 against.  Sociedad matches average 3.0 goals per game also, 1.2 for and 1.8 against.

Click here to back the over at William Hill

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