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Sevilla v Mallorca predictions

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Sevilla v Mallorca predictions
Primera Division Spain, Spain
22/10/2012
21:30
full time result Sevilla win 1.67 Bet at Ladbrokes
Betting prediction was written by Matt

Sevilla v Mallorca predictions and preview: Betting stats

Sevilla sit 7th in La Liga after 7 games amassing 11 points (W3 D2 L2). They were unbeaten for the first 5 games and have since suffered consecutive defeats with a form of DWWLL. At home they won twice including a 1-0 win against Real Madrid before narrowly losing a 2-0 lead against Barcelona to go down 3-2. Their games have averaged 2.14 goals which is very low scoring and only 2 of their games have seen over 2.5 goals.

Mallorca are one place above their hosts but only by one goal on goal difference as they have the same points and indeed the same record. They were also unbeaten for the first 5 games before suffering two defeats. Away from home they don’t have a win so far this season: two 1-1 draws with Malaga and Osasuna and a recent 1-0 defeat against Getafe. They have seen one fewer goal in their games, averaging just 2.00 goals a game with the same amount over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head sees Sevilla easily come out on top overall as well as when just taking their home games into account. Last season’s corresponding fixture saw them run out 3-1 winners.

Team News and Run of Play

Sevilla will be without Piotr Trochowski for the foreseeable future after it was confirmed he’d require surgery on the knee injury he picked up against Barcelona. Sevilla will also be missing a two-goal midfielder for the rest of the season in Victor as he will be out for seven months with a knee ligament injury.

Sevilla have ground out results at home so far this season. They gave a magnificent performance against Real Madrid saw them snatch a 1-0 win and a great first half against Barcelona probably deserved more than their 3-2 defeat. Away from home they have come close in a few of their fixtures and I think if they make slight alterations to their tactics or team they can improve some of these narrow defeats and draws into wins. They do however need goalscorers to support Negredo.

Mallorca have gained a reputation in recent years as strugglers away from home. One presumes that flying from an island for every away game can’t make things easy! Israeli striker Hemed has been a revelation for the side this season by scoring 5 of the team’s 8 goals however I think he won’t see much of the ball in this game.

Mallorca look likely to try and defend their way to a low scoring win or draw. I do however think that Sevilla have the class to break the Islanders down and take the win.

Sevilla v Mallorca predictions: 1X2 betting preview

For me it seems likely to be a very cautious affair but ultimately I believe Sevilla will win, albeit narrowly. They are odds-on but I still think they are a bet. You can find odds of 1.67 with Ladbrokes.

If you see them leapfrogging their opponents in the table, bet here.

Sevilla v Mallorca predictions: Asian Handicap preview

Sevilla (-0.5) sees no value and I can see a narrow victory so for me the value remains in the match market and I think there isn’t much point in backing the Asian handicaps.

Sevilla v Mallorca predictions: Total Goals preview

For me, this game screams under 2.5 goals. The form and statistics suggest a low scoring Sevilla win and I can’t see them running riot and I can’t see Mallorca troubling them too often. The bookies make it each-of-two so back the unders at 1.98 with Pinnacle.

If you want that great price, bet it here.

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