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Mechelen - Kortrijk predictions

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Mechelen - Kortrijk predictions
PRO League, Belgium
06/10/2012
20:00
full time result under 2.5 goals 1.90 Bet at VCbet
Betting prediction was written by Guillaume

MECHELEN-KORTRIJK PREDICTIONS AND PREVIEW: BETTING STATS

Mechelen (8th) is a team quite irregular this season with 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses.

They scored 16 goals and conceded 14.

When playing at home Mechelen won twice, drew once and lost once. They scored an average of 2.5 goals when they play at home this season.

Kortrijk (6th) won 4 games, drew twice and lost 3.

They are struggling to score goals (10 goals scored) but they have a pretty good defense (10 goals conceded).They are travelling quite well with 2 wins in 4 games when playing away.

MECHELEN-KORTRIJK TEAM NEWS AND RUN OF PLAY

In Genk last week-end,  Mechelen lost for the first time in four weeks (2-1).

Indeed, after a solid start of Racing Genk, Mechelen unexpectedly led the score after only 15 minutes but Mechelen players totally forgot to play their football in second half and the home team made the job. Ghomsi was even sent off at the end of the game and will be suspended to face Kortrijk.

After losing 2 weeks ago on the field of Beerschot, Kortrijk was determined to get a victory against Standard last week. They managed to do it and it was not an easy task as they had to play with 10 men for almost an hour after Zukanovic got evicted after 40 mintes. They showed how strong and solidary they are in defense. Zukanovic will be suspended for this game.

MECHELEN-KORTRIJK PREDICTIONS: 1X2 BETTING PREVIEW

The market sees Mechelen as a small favorite as the home team with Unibet offering an odd of 2.10, best price for draw with Pinnacle @ 3.51 and for Kortrijk @ 3.75 with the same bookmaker.

These 2 teams are similar in the way they play and when facing each other it’s always a tight game. During last 5 meetings, Mechelen won twice, Kortrijk won twice and they drew once (last year in Mechelen 0-0).

Really hard to predict the match result here, Kortrijk is 3 points ahead of Mechelen and they would be happy with a draw to maintain that gap between them. Considering the solidity of their defense, I think the draw @ 3.51 is a good option here.

MECHELEN-KORTRIJK PREDICTIONS: ASIAN HANDICAP PREVIEW

The Asian market is set to Mechelen – 0.5 @ 2.10 with Betvictor and Kortrik + 0.5 @ 1.83 with Pinnacle. As I mentioned before, meetings between these 2 teams are always very tight: during last 10 meetings, it ended up 9 times with a 1 goal margin difference or a draw.

Besides, Kortrijk will travel to play a very defensive game and get a draw or even better if there is an opportunity, so I would  recommend to back on Kortrijk + 0.5 for this game.

MECHELEN-KORTRIJK PREDICTIONS: TOTAL GOALS PREVIEW

Betvictor offers the best odd for the under 2.5 goals @ 1.90. The over is priced @ 2.06 with Pinnacle.

Even if out of the last 5 games the total went over 3 times for both team, I am still quite surprised by the odd offered for the under @ 1.90.  I think there is value there considering only 1 out of last 10 meetings between both team has beaten the over 2.5 goals. 

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