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Liverpool v Wigan predictions

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Liverpool v Wigan predictions
Premier League England, England
17/11/2012
16:00
asian handicap Wigan +1.5 1.64 Bet at Pinnacle
Betting prediction was written by Matt

Liverpool v Wigan predictions and preview: Betting stats

Liverpool sit 13th in the Premier League on 12 points (W2 D6 L3) and have secured just one win in their last 5 games at form of DWDDD; they are unbeaten too if you look at it like that. They have managed just one home win so far and Anfield is yet to be a fortress for Brendan Rodgers. Their games average 2.73 goals and 5 have seen over 2.5 goals; 6 have had fewer.

Wigan are 1 place and 1 point below their hosts here but have a dramatically different record of W3 D2 L6. Their form looked good until last weekend’s defeat at home to West Brom but still DLWWL isn’t bad considering their position until recently. Away from home they have lost three times but won twice; their first and their most recent away fixtures. Their games average the same amount of goals as Liverpool’s but 7 of Wigan’s games have seen over 2.5 goals; 4 with fewer.

Liverpool are 4-2-1 at Anfield against Wigan but the most recent meeting yielded Wigan’s one and only win. In fact, Liverpool have been unable to beat Wigan home or away in the last five meetings with 3 draws and 2 Latics wins.

Team News and Run of Play

Lucas may return next week as he nears the end of another injury nightmare. Reina, Borini and Kelly are all out. This game might be too early for a Ryo Miyaichi comeback for Wigan and McArthur, Crusat and Alcaraz will all definitely miss the trip to Anfield.

Liverpool need to turn some of these draws into wins. A team pushing for a European finish see draws as 2 points lost instead of 1 point gained so they know they need to secure more wins if they wish to achieve a top 7 finish. I am sure this is a game they will be looking to secure a second home win of the Premier league season and I am also sure that once again they will rely on the lone striker who has probably single-handedly propelled them to where they are. Luis Suarez will probably have a wishlist of strikers he wants Brendan Rodgers to buy to accompany him in January; he remains their only fit option.

I think Wigan will forget last weekend’s defeat which gave West Brom their first away win of the season and instead focus on their most recent away game. The 1-0 win at White Hart Lane was regarded as a poor performance by Spurs but I think you can’t take anything away from how Wigan played. Swift attacks and a solid defence is the best way for a team like Wigan to play against the bigger teams and I can see them attempting this again here.

Liverpool v Wigan predictions: 1X2 betting preview

For me, Liverpool are too short here. Considering Wigan’s form and their ability to nullify an attack that centres around one striker (like Spurs) they might just get something out of this game. For me I’d tend towards backing the draw here. Games between these sides have been fairly low scoring and I think it will be very tight so I’ll be backing the draw at 4.64 with Pinnacle.

If you see Liverpool struggling at home once again, click here.

Liverpool v Wigan predictions: Asian Handicap preview

For me, the value bet in this match is in the Asian handicap -1.5 market. Even if Liverpool can secure a victory it will be by the tightest of margins so I think backing Wigan +1.5 at 1.64, again with Pinnacle, is a bet.

Fancy Wigan to run the Reds close? Bet here.

Liverpool v Wigan predictions: Total Goals preview

With Liverpool’s home games average 2.0 goals and Wigan’s away games seeing 2.2 goals a game, coupled with the fact these fixtures haven’t seen many goals as a rule, it seems under 2.5 goals is the bet. I think it represents real value too at 2.30 with BetVictor.

Another low scoring affair between these two sides can be backed here.

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