Man City v Swansea predictions

Match	Date	Selection	Bet	Odds	Bet now
Man City v Swansea predictions Premier League England, England	27/10/2012 18:30	asian handicap	Man City -1.5	1.70	Bet at VCbet
Betting prediction was written by Matt

Man City v Swansea predictions and preview: Betting stats

Man City are 3^rd in the Premier League having amassed 18 points from their opening 8 games (W5 D3 L0) and have won their last three matches (DDWWW). At home they have won 3 times and drawn once so far this season. Their games have averaged 3.25 goals with 6 seeing 3 or more goals and just 2 seeing fewer.

Swansea started the season fairly well and are currently 10^th on 11 points (W3 D2 L3). Their three losses have come in their last five games with form of LLLDW. Away from home they won brilliantly 5-0 against QPR before giving Aston Villa and Stoke their only wins of the season, succumbing 2-0 to both sides. Their games have averaged the same goals as their hosts and seen the same over/under 2.5 goals too.

These teams have met 6 times; every game ending in a home win. However four of these fixtures were in the early 80s so we can only really pay attention to last season’s results. City won the corresponding fixture 4-0 with all the goals coming in the second half.

Team News and Run of Play

David Silva looks unlikely to return from his hamstring injury picked up on international duty while Rodwell, Javi Garcia and Maicon all look set to miss out too. James Milner's straight red against West Brom means he won't play. Kyle Bartley and Neil Taylor remain on the sidelines with Taylor out for the season and Bartley about a month from fitness for Swansea.

Man City have not been the dominant force they were last season as of yet but have ground out wins like their Manchester counterparts have been doing this and most previous seasons. They were thoroughly outclassed in Amsterdam on Wednesday night and have been outplayed in all their Champions League fixtures but they are unbeaten in the Premier League and shouldn’t have any problems this weekend.

Swansea started the season well, topping the table after two games but have since floundered. 3 consecutive defeats sent them tumbling but recent weeks have picked up slightly. The fact their two away defeats came against sides without wins at the time tells us that they aren’t a very confident side away from home, despite starting with a 5-0 win. For me, City will pose their defence too much threat.

Should Swansea play with their usual passing style, they could get turned over here. I think City will end any Swansea resurgence and I think their fans will expect it to be with some style after the late win against West Brom and the defeat at Ajax. Swansea might set up to defend and if they do they may come away with a narrow defeat or snatch a draw; both seem unlikely.

Man City v Swansea predictions: 1X2 betting preview

I think this is very likely to be a comfortable City win. My money is on the home side to come back from their midweek disappointment and to make sure Swansea don’t see back-to-back victories. So if you want a bet for the day that doesn’t really return too much then the Man City win is 1.25 with BetVictor.

Can City bounce back? If you think so, back them here.

Man City v Swansea predictions: Asian Handicap preview

I don’t believe you can get rich off 1.25 shots so for me the value probably lies in Man City (-1.5). I believe they can win by at least two goals here and 1.7 with BetVictor allows for a much better return for your money.

If you see a clear 2 or more goal victory for City, back them here.

Man City v Swansea predictions: Total Goals preview

Over 2.5 goals just seems almost certain here. I can only apologise that all my tips are odds-on shots here but the stats suggest 1.44 with bet365 is a good price. 3.28 is the average for City’s home and Swansea’s away matches so over 2.5 goals is the bet.

If you can see goals too, click here.