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Bastia v Bordeaux predictions

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Bastia v Bordeaux predictions
Ligue 1, France
28/10/2012
17:00
total goals under 2.5 1.87 Bet at VCbet
Betting prediction was written by Guillaume

 

BASTIA V BORDEAUX PREDICTIONS AND PREVIEW: BETTING STATS

Bastia got promoted from the second division and started very well this season thanks to their confident title of Ligue 2.
The Corsicans are currently 12th but conceded too many goals so they got the worst defense of the league (20 goals in 9 matches), they won 3 games, drew twice and lost 4.
Bordeaux has the second best defense of the league after PSG and they are still undefeated this season.
They confirmed their good start of season with a huge victory at Lyon, two weeks ago, and a just after a draw against Lille, last week.
For both team, last five games was mixed with 3 draws for Bordeaux and only two victories for Bastia, against smallest teams.
 

TEAM NEWS AND RUN OF PLAY

Since the beginning of the season, Francis Gillot's players proposed an attractive way of game based on a strong defense, associated to the great goalkeeper Cedric Carasso.
The bad point for them is the match against Maritimo this thursday, without Carasso, and their poor turnover to substitute key players like Obraniak or Trémoulinas.
In the other part, Bastia is irregular particularly in defense and the attack is experienced (Rothen, Maoulida) but unconfident.
However, at home, the corsicans remain strong and can count on the help of their "crazy" supporters which give frequently the mental to play until the end.
 

BASTIA V BORDEAUX PREDICTIONS: 1X2 BETTING PREVIEW

Pinnacle proposes a odd of 3.25 for the draw and that's a good value for me because this match will be tight for sure.
Bordeaux is priced at 2.85 with Pinnacle and the home team to win reaches 2.80 with William Hill. Considering Bastia's recent form I really don't see how they will take the best of Bordeaux's defense. I would definitly go for the draw here.
 

BASTIA V BORDEAUX PREDICTIONS: ASIAN HANDICAP PREVIEW

Pinnacle offers an interested and safe value : Bordeaux -0.25 at 2.32.
For the reasons explained  before , Bastia is not very confident currently and Bordeaux plays without a real pressure away because their target is the european qualification.
 

BASTIA V BORDEAUX PREDICTIONS: TOTAL GOALS PREVIEW

Bastia played only one game with under 2.5 goals : the last one in the hot corsican derby against Ajaccio.
In the opposite Bordeaux made just two games over 2.5 goals so this bet is hard to predict.
The over 2.5 goals is priced at  2.05 with Bet365 and the under at 1.87 with Betvictor.
During last 5 meetings between these 2 teams, the total went over 2.5 goals only once, I don't think many goals will be scored this year again.
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