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Evian v Toulouse predictions

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Evian v Toulouse predictions
Ligue 1, France
20/10/2012
20:00
asian handicap Toulouse 0 1.99 Bet at Pinnacle
Betting prediction was written by Guillaume

EVIAN-TOULOUSE PREDICTIONS AND PREVIEW: BETTING STATS

 

Evian (17th) finally got out of the relegation zone with their unexpected win against Montpellier during last match (2-3 away).

Evian won one game at home, drew twice and lost one. When playing away, their record was terrible but suddenly looks better with 3 losses and 1 win. They scored 10 goals and conceded 11 goals.

Toulouse (7th) won 3 games, drew 4 times and lost once. Toulouse’s players are still unbeaten at home but are struggling to get a win lately (3 draws in a row). Toulouse players are quite confortable when playing away as they won twice, drew once and lost only once.

They scored 11 goals and conceded 9 goals.

 

TEAM NEWS AND RUN OF PLAY

 

Evian’s target would be to remain out of the relegation zone as long as possible.

Since last coach Pablo Correa was sacked after the loss in Bastia (3-0) a month ago, the situation of the club is slightly better as they won 1 game, lost and drew once.

Evian is also playing a more offensive football under new coach Pascal Dupraz’s management. It allows central-forward Khelifa to shine (5 goals) but, unfortunately for Evian, he will miss the game in Toulouse due to injury.

Toulouse is having trouble to start well his games when playing at home this season. Indeed, after conceding 1 or 2 early goals, they have been battling like real warriors to tear a draw at the very last minute of the game during the last 3 games they played at home (they scored 3 times after 90th minute). It shows how strong is the determination of this team this year, they never give up. Most of the players are playing in Toulouse for many years now and if they manage to start their game better, Toulouse could be a real outsider in Ligue 1 this season.

French international’s Moussa Sissoko will be suspended for this game and should be replace by Akpa Akpro in midfield.

 

EVIAN-TOULOUSE PREDICTIONS: 1X2 BETTING PREVIEW

 

The market is rather undetermined about this game with odds pretty similar for both teams: Evian remains a little bit favorite at 2.75 with Betvictor, draw is offered by William Hill at 3.25 and best price for Toulouse with Pinnacle at 2.90.

Last year, Evian won 2-1 at home and lost on the same score in Toulouse.

Considering Khelifa will miss the game for Evian and Toulouse’s recent form and confidence, I would put a small stake on Toulouse to win this game.

 

EVIAN-TOULOUSE PREDICTIONS: ASIAN HANDICAP PREVIEW

 

The Asian market is set to 0 here. I really see a good opportunity in picking the odd offered by Pinnacle for Toulouse at 1.99. A draw is not to be excluded here and I think Toulouse’s side is slightly better so I found this bet interesting.

 

EVIAN-TOULOUSE PREDICTIONS: TOTAL GOALS PREVIEW

 

During last 5 previous games of both teams, the total went over 2.5 goals twice for Evian and also twice for Toulouse. Both teams are conceding many goals but are struggling to score since the start of the season.

 

That’s why the bookmakers are not expecting many goals in this game, they are offering the under 2.5 goals @ 1.67 with Ladbrokes and the over @ 2.30 with William Hill.

 

Although I think the market is a bit high on the over, I would follow the trend and advise to bet on the under here.

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