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Ligue 1 : Valenciennes - Marseille

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Ligue 1 : Valenciennes - Marseille
Ligue 1, France
30/09/2012
14:00
asian handicap Marseille +0.25 2.03 Bet at Pinnacle
Betting prediction was written by Anton

VALENCIENNES - MARSEILLE STATS

This season Valenciennes never lost a game at Nungesser but didn't win since 3 matches, and the victory against Ajaccio.

In the opposite Marseille didn't lost since august, Ligue 1 and Europe.

Also Steeve Mandanda, OM goalkeeper, is fully confident and conceded only one goal during the championship so far.

In the mean time, both teams are not very offensive with an average of 1.5 goals scored, per game.

In the last two years, direct oppositions gave 3 draws and 1 victory each.

TEAM NEWS AND RUN OF PLAY

Before the french "classico" next week (September 7th), Marseille will play on sunday a difficult game against Valenciennes.

The showdown between both teams is always tensed, because of the historic contention, and hardly played.

Moreover, OM is doing the best beginning of season since 40 years and want to keep the confidence in the aim to beat their eternal "rich" rivals !

Valenciennes like last season is really hard to beat at home, this season they won once and drew twice in front of their fans.

In addition, Valenciennes played on wednesday in League cup against a very good team of Monaco, leading the French Ligue 2, so they might get some more injuries and exhaustion because of no turnover ( Valenciennes bench is limited).

1X2 BET VALENCIENNES - MARSEILLE PREVIEW

Pinnacle propose a odd of 2.41 for Marseille, 3.10 as draw and 3.30 for Valenciennes

I really think the bet on Marseille can be a good value but the safest attitude is the draw no-bet OM, 1.65 with the same bookmaker.

Actually, Marseille needs to win and play well to reassure themselves before the big game next week.

The motivation and the concentration is testified by one of player in strong form, Benoit Cheyrou : "We are fully concentrated on recuperation (...) and we don't forget Valencienne's game, all games will be hard to win this season".

TOTAL GOALS PREDICTIONS

Both teams are not very prolific this season and the two last oppositions finished by 1-1.

The under 2.5 goals is priced @1.65 with Bwin and the over @ 2.51 with Pinnacle.

Following current statistics, must be logical but it will depend on injuries on Valencienne's side, and the starting line-up on Marseille's side.

Indeed, a player like Loic Remy (best goalscorer last season) is coming back from injury and need to play to get back to fitness. But still Marseille’s the attacking line is playing well, players like Ayew's brother, Valbuena and Gignac will be determined to score and show the improvement of in the way they play compares to last season.

For Valenciennes, there are some injuries at the end of last week end, and particularly in defence, Ducourtioux and Mater are uncertains for Sunday.

ASIAN HANDICAP PREDICTIONS

Handicap is set at Valenciennes + 0.25 @ 1.89, Marseille + 0.25 @ 2.03 both with Pinnacle.

Marseille got a strong defence (best of the championship) and a great goalkeeper, so they should probably not take more than 1 goal in this game and they have enough quality attacking players to score 1 goal in their brand new “Stade du Hainaut”.

Therefore, I would recommend to back on Marseille @ 2.03 with Pinnacle.

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