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Lyon v Bastia predictions

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Lyon v Bastia predictions
Ligue 1, France
04/11/2012
17:00
total goals over 2.5 2.31 Bet at Pinnacle
Betting prediction was written by Guillaume

 

LYON V BASTIA PREDICTIONS AND PREVIEW: BETTING STATS

Lyon is in a good position. They are standing in the 4th spot, just one point away from the second, with a match less, as the one against Marseille planned last weekend has been postponed.  They have only one loss, along with 5 wins and 3 draws. When they are playing home, they have a very good record of 4-1.

Bastia is currently 11th of this Ligue 1, with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. They won only once away though, during their opening game in Sochaux, and then lost twice, and remain on two draws.

TEAM NEWS AND RUN OF PLAY

Except this home loss against Bordeaux, Lyon has been very solid for quite a while, as their last loss, all competitions included, was the last game of last season. They handled the Europa League very seriously with 3 wins in 3 games, so they already know they will go through this first stage. They have one of the best defense of the league, with 8 goals conceded in 9 games, thanks to their central backs Bisevac and Lovren who are really tough.

After a terrible month of September, where they got a run of 4 losses in a row, Bastia came back on track, thanks to two home wins over Bordeaux and Troyes. Their weakness remains the back four, as Bastia is the worst defense of the league, with 21 goals conceded.

LYON V BASTIA PREDICTIONS: 1X2 BETTING PREVIEW

Lyon is seen as quite big favorite by the bookmakers, as they are at 1.54 with Pinnacle. The draw reaches 4.48 with the same book, and Bastia to win can be found at 7 with Bet365. Even if I don’t see Bastia winning here, they can be complicated enough to play, and a draw is pretty likely as well.

LYON V BASTIA PREDICTIONS: ASIAN HANDICAP PREVIEW

Lyon is given a full goal handicap on this market. Lyon -1 is at 1.99 with Pinnacle, and Bastia +1 is at 2.02 with BetVictor. With such a handicap, Lyon would have lost only once in their 5 past home games, and would have drawn twice. Bastia lost only once by more than one goal when they play away. 

LYON V BASTIA PREDICTIONS: TOTAL GOALS PREVIEW

The Under 2.5 goals is set at 1.67 with Stan James and the Over 2.5 goals is at 2.31 with Pinnacle. Lyon’s 5 home games have an average of 3 goals, and Bastia’s away games have an average of 3.4, so the value is clearly on the Over 2.5 goals.

 

 

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