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Lyon v Montpellier predictions

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Lyon v Montpellier predictions
Ligue 1, France
01/12/2012
17:00
total goals under 2.5 1.92 Bet at Pinnacle
Betting prediction was written by Guillaume

LYON V MONTPELLIER PREDICTIONS AND PREVIEW: BETTING STATS

Lyon (4th) is: WWWLW (4-1) in their last 5 league home games. The goal average in those 5 ties was 3.6. 2 games out of 5 went over 2.5 goals! Lyon managed 3 clean sheets in this interval and scored in 4 out of 5. Lyon won with a goal superiority of two plus 3 out of 5. 2 out of 5 times, OL’s player let in more than 1 goal.

Montpellier (12th) is DDLWL (1-2-2) in their last 5 league away games. The goal average in those 5 matches was 2.83. 2 out of 5 went over 2.5 goals! Montpellier managed 1 clean sheet in this interval and won with a goal superiority of two or more 1 out of 5. Montpellier managed to score in all 5 games. Montpellier let the opposition score 2 or more against them 2 out of 5.

TEAM NEWS AND RUN OF PLAY

Lyon is still in a very good position after 13 games played. They are standing in the 4th spot, just one point away from the second Marseille and leader PSG, with a match less, as the one against Marseille was postponed and will be played on Wednesday. If they manage to get 6 points out of these 2 games this week, they could be standing at the top of the league with 5 points ahead of PSG before Parisians will play their game in Nice Saturday night. However, to achieve that, Remi Garde’s players will have to forget about last week’s loss against Toulouse (3-0) and really focused on the basis. Indeed, Lyon has undoubtedly realized its worst game of the season in Toulouse. Lyon’s players have also shown some huge defensive failures and nothing good on the offensive (only 2 shots on target, no corner obtained). They will try to prove now that it was just an accident, striker and captain Lisandro should be back from injury and Reveillere will be back from suspension to face Montpellier. Croatian defender Lovren is still recovering from injury and will miss this game.

The defending champion is slowly getting better after a disastrous start of season. Last week’s win against Bordeaux (1-0) permits them to move away from the red zone.

Author of the only goal of the game, a nice shot from the left in a tight angle, Remy Cabella has been rewarded for his excellent performance of the day. The young Montpellier delivered a very big game on its left side, speeding the game and constantly providing solutions to his teammates. He’s without a doubt the best player of the team this season and he will be the man to watch against Lyon. Bad news for Montpellier, they will travel to Lyon without Ait Fana (injured), Jeunechamp and Saihi (both suspended).

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LYON V MONTPELLIER PREDICTIONS: 1X2 BETTING PREVIEW

It is not a surprise to see Lyon as favourite here with Betsson offering 1.84 for the home win, draw is priced at 3.60 with Bet365 and Montpellier to win at 5.90 with Marathonbet. Lyon is the strongest team of the league at home, out of last 5 meetings Lyon won 4 times. I think Lyon’s side has shown much more qualities and confidence on the pitch than Montpellier this season, I would recommend to bet on the home win here.

 

LYON V MONTPELLIER PREDICTIONS: ASIAN HANDICAP PREVIEW

 

The Asian market is set at – 0.5 for the home team at 1.78 with Betvictor and Montpellier + 0.5 at 2.17 with the same bookmaker. The market thinks a home win is more likely than a draw or an away win combined. The bet on Lyon is exactly the same as a win in the 1x2 market so i would stick on the 1X2 bet which offers better value.

 

LYON V MONTPELLIER PREDICTIONS: TOTAL GOALS PREVIEW

 

The under 2.5 goals is slightly favourite at 1.92 with Pinnacle, 188bet is offering 1.99 for the over. Considering last games, I think the value is on the under here and it worth trying a small stake on this market. Indeed, the total goals went only once under 2.5 goals during last 5 meetings between these teams.

 

 

 

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