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Eintracht Frankfurt v Greuter Fürth predictions

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Eintracht Frankfurt v Greuter Fürth predictions
Bundesliga, Germany
02/11/2012
20:30
asian handicap Fürth +1 1.80 Bet at VCbet
Betting prediction was written by Ronny

Eintracht Frankfurt v Greuter Fürth predictions: Stats and facts

Eintracht Frankfurt is 6-1-2 in the Bundesliga so far. The Frankfurt home games so far has yielded a goal average of 3.67 goals per game.  Form wise Frankfurt is L-W-L-W-D-W. At the Commerzbank-Arena; Eintracht Frankfurt is 4-1-0 this season. The goal average has been 4.2 goals per game. All their five home games in the Bundesliga so far have been over 2.5 goals. Three of the Frankfurt home games have ended with 4+ goals being scored.

Greuter Fürth are dead last on the table with 1-3-5 in their first nine Bundesliga games of the season. The goal average has been 2.33 goals scored per game. The Greuter Fürth form curve looks like this: D-D-L-L-L-L. Away from home Greuter Fürth is 1-2-1 in five games played. The goal average in these five games was 2.75 goals. Three of the four last Greuter Fürth matches away from home had two or less goals scored in them.

Eintracht Frankfurt and Greuter Fürth met last season (in 2. Bundesliga) Frankfurt won 3-2 away from home. In Frankfurt the game ended a 0-0 draw.


Run of play and team news

When these two teams met last season they shared possession fairly equally (52-48). Fürth  even fired more shots in that game. When all the points were counted at the end of the season Fürth was narrowly ahead of Frankfurt. This season much has changed. The home side got a rocket start, and has had momentum going for them. They also invested more in squad quality. Frankfurt has been greatly helped by a strong offense this season, led by Alexander Meier who has grabbed six goals so far (A couple of truly spectacular ones as well). He has really carried his good form from last season with him to the highest level of German football. Frankfurt also has plenty of players who have shown they can play ball, and also those crucial ones leading to goals. Defender Bastian Oczipka has for instance managed five assists so far. Frankfurt will not be playing solid defender Zambrano for this fixture (he broke his toe against Stuttgart last weekend), but have good cover on the bench.

Fürth have found life at the top of the Bundesliga food chain hard. They struggle to score, and personal mistakes have flourished. This is rather typical of a team in a crisis. The good news is they have managed two draws on the trot, and now face opposition they know fairly well.  Perhaps the worst part is done, and they are finding their feet? Greuter Fürth will need to stay compact, minimize errors and try to do as much as possible on the break and with the possession they get. Frankfurt hasn’t exactly been tight at the back, and perhaps is their momentum running out slowly now? Fürth

That said; I would be very surprised if Eintracht Frankfurt has much less than 60% of the possession. Frankfurt is a stronger side today than what they were last season.  They’re expected to dictate the pace in a game like this. When it comes to conversion the home side has shown time and time again they can convert. Greuter Fürth will surely have a tough time creating clear chances. Converting the ones they get will prove even tougher (at least when looking at the games so far).

Eintracht Frankfurt v Greuter Fürth predictions: 1X2 betting preview

One can’t overlook the home side. Their strength in front of goal and especially their attacking play at home turf makes them a massive favorite for this tie. Unibet offer 1.72 on the home win. Given the circumstances that could be good. I certainly won’t blame you for trying the home win after reading my preview. Personally I find more value in the draw. Sure, Frankfurt is a better side than they were last season, but Fürth have improved as of late. When you get odds of 4 it is just difficult to stay away. Betfair is the destination for that juicy price.

If you find my predictions make sense, click here to get on with the bet

Eintracht Frankfurt v Greuter Fürth predictions: Asian Handicap preview

Asian Handicap wise I am looking for some coverage here. Even if I think it might end closer than many Frankfurt fans expect, one can’t overlook the goal scoring power of the home side. Should they get going and gain some momentum, Frankfurt could bang in 3-4 goals just for show. Greuter Fürth will try to defend well, and see what they can get on the break or in one of their possession spells. The VC Bet odds of Greuter Fürth +1 at 1.80 look interesting. The Asian Handicap of +1 indicates that for us to lose, Frankfurt must win by two goals or more. If Frankfurt wins by 1 goal we get our money back.

If you agree with my Asian Handicap predictions: Greuter Fürth +1 is found here

Eintracht Frankfurt - Greuter Fürth predictions: Total Goals preview

This looks very much like an over 2.5 goals game given the setting. Frankfurt can’t easily keep a clean sheet. Fürth has improved as of late, and have scored 4 goals in their last two matches. I do however remember the under game from last season. In this preview I have also said my view is that Fürth will focus on avoiding error and defend. It’s not quite 50-50, but the odds in the market right now indicate it must be a 58-60% chance for us just to break even on the over 2.5 goal line. I actually think it is some minor value to be had on the Under 2.5 goal odds 2.30 given at Betfair. I wouldn’t place my house on it, but it does resemble some value at least.

If you think this just has to end over after reading my predictions, you can go for the over at a really good price here.

If you want to go for my small value play you can go to Betfair and get on with the Under 2.5 goals bet here.

 

Rounding it off

I hope you liked my Eintracht Frankfurt - Greuter Fürth preview and the predictions I have come to. If you are looking for football predictions like this one, you can easily find them here: Fooball predictions. If you're spesifically looking for Bundesliga predictions, you find them all here: Bundesliga predictions

 
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