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Ajax v Man City predictions

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Ajax v Man City predictions
Champions League Uefa, International
24/10/2012
20:45
total goals Over 2.5 goals 1.73 Bet at VCbet
Betting prediction was written by Matt

Ajax v Man City predictions and preview: Betting stats

Ajax sit 4th in the Eredivisie on 17 points and are unbeaten this season at a record of W4 D5 L0. Their form has seen more draws of late at WDWDD but they haven’t matched their domestic form in the Champions League. They lie bottom of Group D after the opening two games, for them a 1-0 away defeat at Dortmund and a 4-1 defeat to Real Madrid courtesy of a Cristiano Ronaldo hat-trick. Their domestic games have average 3.67 goals with 5 over 2.5 goals and 4 under.

Man City are 3rd in the Premier League and are also unbeaten so far with a record of W5 D3 L0 which sees them 4 points adrift of leaders Chelsea. They have won their last three league games and their form looks good at DDWWW. They aren’t performing so well in the CL as they are 3rd in the group having lost at the Bernabeu 3-2 and ground out a 1-1 draw at home to Dortmund. Their games have average 3.25 goals and 6 of them have seen 3 or more goals; 2 with fewer.

Team News and Run of Play

Enoh returned for Ajax in a training ground friendly last week and could feature but Sigthorsson and goalscoring midfielder Serero are both out. David Silva will miss out for City after his hamstring injury picked up on international duty for Spain against France; Micah Richards returned a couple of weeks ago and should be fit.

Ajax have started their season solidly in the domestic game but perhaps the lack of class of the Eredivisie shows as they have been outplayed by the German and Spanish champions. They are very high scoring in the league and have goals coming from everywhere; a few more goals coming from midfield than from the forward line. They have a real ‘pass master’ in Moisander who is second to only Xavi in passes completed.

City are in their second season of Champions League action after the misfortune of a difficult draw and not qualifying despite amassing 10 points last season. They have returned to top league form recently and were unlucky in the CL not to pick up at least a point against Real. They had Joe Hart to thank however for keeping them in the game at the Etihad against Dortmund.

For me Ajax will really give City a game here. The defending Premier League champions have struggled at the back and have kept just one clean sheet this season so far, surprisingly when their captain Vincent Kompany was absent. This should be an open and free-flowing football match and I think it will be a great spectacle for the fans in Amsterdam.

Ajax v Man City predictions: 1X2 betting preview

I suspect that despite an ability to score plenty of goals in domestic football Ajax are struggling against the more skilful opposition. I think they may have a difficult task in qualifying already but after this game I can see it being impossible as I think City will take the three points and close the gap on the top two in the group.

The City win is 1.75 with William Hill and that’s the bet here.

Ajax v Man City predictions: Asian Handicap preview

If City find top gear in this game they could run out as clear winners. I think the best bet in the Asian handicap market is Man City (-0.75). If they only manage the narrowest of wins you win with half of your stake and have the other half returned. Anything more convincing and you get a better value price of 1.96 with Ladbrokes.

If you think City can continue their good league form in style, bet here.

Ajax v Man City predictions: Total Goals preview

There is only one possible bet here and that’s the overs. Ajax are high scoring, not necessarily in the CL but I think overall is what counts as they are in the familiarity of their home ground. I can see a possible 3-1 victory for Man City and I really believe that an over 2.5 goals price of 1.73 with BetVictor is a good value bet for this game.

If you believe at least 3 goals will be seen at the Amsterdam ArenA then bet here.

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