Arsenal v Montpellier predictions
Match | Date | Selection | Bet | Odds | Bet now | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arsenal v Montpellier predictions Champions League Uefa, International |
21/11/2012 20:45 |
other | M'Pellier Scores | 1.75 | Bet at Betsson | |||
Betting prediction was written by Ronny |
Arsenal v Montpellier predictions: Stats and Facts
Arsenal is: WDWLWL (3-1-2) in their last 6 competitive home games. The goal average in those 6 ties was 3.83. 4 out of 6 went over 2.5 goals! Arsenal managed 1 clean sheet in this interval and scored in 5 out of 6. Arsenal won with a goal superiority of two plus 2 out of 6. 4 out of 6 times Arsenal let in more than 1 goal.
Montpellier is DLDLDW (1-3-2) in their last 6 competitive away games. The goal average in those 6 matches was 2.83. 4 out of 6 went under 2.5! Montpellier managed 1 clean sheet in this interval and won with a goal superiority of two or more 1 out of 6. Montpellier managed to score in all 6. Montpellier let the opposition score 2 or more against them 1 out of 6.
Arsenal is 2nd in Group B behind Schalke. Montpellier is rock bottom with 1 point in 4 matches. By winning this match Arsenal have it all in their hands need be when they go to Athens to play Olympiakos on the 4th of December. If Montpellier would win this one, and also next round at home against Schalke they would most likely still not qualify for the next stages of the tournament. They’re pretty much out of it.
Arsenal and Montpellier met in Montpellier Mid-September. Arsenal went back to North London with all the points. The match was even and entertaining. Montpellier perhaps deserved to get something from the game.
Team News and Run of play
Arsenal are still without Goalie Łukasz Fabiański. Midfielders Tomas Rosický and Diaby are also still sidelined. Young Kieran Gibbs will not take place in defence, as he too is injured still. Attacker Gervinho is still not back either.
Montpellier has winger Souleymane Camara suspended. He is their top scorer this season in Ligue 1 so he will be missed. Another offensive player; Karim Aït-Fana is still out with injury. Striker John Utaka, defenders Hilton, Benjamin Stambouli and Cyril Jeunechamp could be in contention after injury/illness but we will need to await further team news.
This was a fairly even game in Montpellier. At Emirates, a hyper motivated Arsenal side should dictate the pace, and I would be surprised if the possession stat doesn’t indicate this after the game.
Betsson Risk Free €25 Bet
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Arsenal v Montpellier predictions: 1x2 preview
Both sides are good up front, but weak at the back. Clean sheets are few and far between. Having Camara sidelined is a blow to Montpellier coach Girard. Super influential playmaker Belhanda (returning to the team after being suspended in the last league game) will bear much more of the burden now. Arsenal has been getting players back lately, and things are looking on the up after a spirited performance against Tottenham this weekend.
Based on this preview; I call this a home win. 1.32 is on offer at Betsson. As we get our money back if we lose (up to €25) as well I think this is a relatively safe route to go.
Get on with a hyper motivated Gunners and money back if we lose
Arsenal v Montpellier predictions: Asian Handicap preview
Looking at the stats I would be careful with a wide handicap. However, as there is an overall quality difference between Ligue 1 and the EPL I find it possible to look at a -1.0 Asian Handicap for Arsenal. The -1.5 is just too risky for me as Arsenal leak goals and Montpellier tend to score in every game they play. Pinnacle Sports offer 1.52 for Arsenal -1. Given the circumstances this is the bet for me.
If you agree with my prediction: Get 1.52 at Pinnacle here
Arsenal v Montpellier predictions: Total Goals preview
Arsenal and Montpellier has played a total of 8 games in the Champions League this season. 7 of those have ended over 2.5 goals. None of these games ended with clean sheets for these sides. Not going for the Over 2.5 makes little sense to me. Actually half the games these sides have played in the CHL this season went over 3.5 goals.
I take the Over 2.5 at Betsson priced at 1.60. Given the Risk Free Bet worth €25 offered b Betsson you can also get your money back if you lose. That is just too much value to overlook.
Take the 1.60 Over 2.5 and €25 Risk Free Bet here
If you are a bit more adventurous: 1.98 with Bet365 for the 3 goals line is a pretty good object. If the game ends with exactly 3 goals, you get your money back. If it ends with 4 or more you win.
You can go for the more adventurous 1.98 bet here
Arsenal v Montpellier predictions: Other
Montpellier has scored in their last 9 matches. I can see reasons not to bet that trend here, like Camara’s suspension, and general lack of motivation, but seriously: Does Arsenal look like a solid defense? No way! Also, should Arsenal run over Montpellier, and go 3-4 goals up it is likely they’ll tinker with their eleven and lose focus slightly. How often aren’t goals scored in that scenario. Montpellier to score at 1.75 offered by Betsson must be really nice odds. I do not think these odds will be standing come kick off. Since you get your money back if you lose as well (Up to €25) this in my opinion is a must bet.
1.75 Montpellier to score, and get your money back if you lose
Rounding it off
It was a pleasure writing this Montpellier v Arsenal preview and giving my predictions. I hope you find them useful. If you want more Champions League predictions, just click here: Champions League predictions from Howtobet.net
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