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Champions League: Manchester City v Dortmund predictions

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Champions League: Manchester City v Dortmund predictions
Champions League Uefa, International
02/10/2012
20:45
full time result City win 1.877 Bet at Pinnacle
Betting prediction was written by Ronny

MANCHESTER CITY v DORTMUND PREDICTIONS - STATS

Manchester City is still undefeated in the EPL. With 3-3-0 in their first six games, they're still very much in the midst of the action. Four of their five last home games are over 2.5 goals. Four of their five last CHL fixtures are over 2.5 goals. Last time around they lost 3-2 to Real Madrid in the Spanish capitol. The result reflected the game action. Real were in the driving seat, but City were clinical with two goals coming off five shots on target. City had 44% posession in that game. Last season in the group stages City won two out of their three home games. Dortmund is third in the Bundesliga with 3-2-1 in six attempts. Eight of their last ten away games have ended over 2.5 goals. They won 1-0 at home against Ajax in a very even game (they had 45% posession, but had three times as many shots on target than Ajax). Last season they lost three out of three away games in the CHL. All these games ended over 2.5 goals.
 

TEAM NEWS AND RUN OF PLAY

Manchester City will field a very strong side as usual. Up front Tevez, Dzeko, Balotelli and Aguero should be fit for selection. Dortmund as well should be ready to rumble. Lewandowski did not feature in the 5-0 trashing against Gladbach this weekend, perhaps due to the ongoing contract negotiations? He wasn't missed though as star-in-the-making Reus was on fire against his old club.

Manchester City are slowly but surely starting to find their feet in the English Premier League. After displaying weakness in defence things have picked up slightly. Even if they lack some of that solid defensive unity that was the platform for their title last season they have plenty of formidable attacking options. There is no doubt that this Manchester City side has many strings to play on, and coach Mancini can trick and mix with the starting eleven as he sees fit. Dortmund has developed plenty of fine talent, and have won the Bundesliga back to back. This year it looked like they were heading for some trouble, but the 5-0 demolition job against Gladbach really must have kick started their season.

I expect this game to be slightly dominated by Manchester City, 51-60% possession seems realistic. This even if the German side loves playing fast paced pass and move on the ground. In general this means it will be a grind for the home side to tear down the Dortmund defence while avoiding giving the German chamions too many opportunities to get on with counter attacks. That said; Dortmund will get enough possession time to make it count as well. It is likely they will get five to ten shots fired on target, and with talent such as Lewandowski, Reus, Gotze, Perišić and BÅ‚aszczykowski likely to fire them conversion may easily be the case even if they're up against world beater Joe Hart in the Manchester City goal.

MANCHESTER CITY v DORTMUND PREDICTIONS: 1X2 BETTING PREVIEW

Manchester City are getting experienced at grinding down enemy defenses. They have proven time and time again they can do it. With clinical finishers up front I can't see them not scoring in this game.Dortmund is by any standard a very good team, but I feel they still have to mature a bit in order to take one more step forward in Europe. This is a team that enjoys playing ball, in Germany they're stll offered a bit more time and space. Against a top British side, forget that. I can't see Dortmund having enough possession in this game for them to do fulfill their massive potential no matter how good they will be on the break.

The best odds I can find for the Manchester City win is 1.90 at Betfair. I think that odds is useful given the above analysis and predictions. If you agree with me you can take 1.90 with Betfair here.

MANCHESTER CITY - DORTMUND PREDICTIONS: ASIAN HANDICAP PREVIEW

My predictions for Asian Handicap are based on the fact that these are two good sides, that Manchester City is leaking slightly in defence but got plenty of offensive firepower and that Dortmund tend to get plenty shots of goal even if they're dominated possession wise. I do think City will win it, but I do not want to predict the goal superiority come the final whistle. I will rather look for a narrow handicap. A -0.75 handicap should be fine. If you are not familiar with Asian Handicap betting, you should read our Asian Handicap guide, and in particular this article explaining the meaning of the different Asian handicaps.

My pick for Manchester City -0.75 Asian Handicap is 2.14 with 188bet. If you agree with me, you find the bet here.

MANCHESTER CITY - DORTMUND PREDICTIONS: TOTAL GOALS PREVIEW

After analyzing the game I am sure you agree with me that there is quite a big chance for a game yielding plenty of goals. I was considering placing my money on a Over 2.75 goals bet for a while, but landed on the 2.5 line in stead. It is hard to get into predicting the exact goal score, so this for me makes more sense. I ended up with taking odds 1.741 offered by Pinnacle Sports. If you agree with my analysis and predictions feel free to follow me on this bet.

Here is where I took 1.741 on over 2.5 goals.

MANCHESTER CITY - DORTMUND PREVIEW: THE END

I have very much enjoyed writing this analysis for you. I hope you found it useful. If you want to read our other betting predictions, feel free to go to our betting predictions section. Now, you can just sit back in the sofa, pop a can of Coke or Carlsberg and look forward to Manchester City vs Dortmund, what a game that will be!

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