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Cluj v Galatasaray predictions

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Cluj v Galatasaray predictions
Champions League Uefa, International
07/11/2012
20:45
full time result Under 2.5 1.83 Bet at Betsson
Betting prediction was written by Ronny

Cluj v Galatasaray predictions: Stats and Facts

Cluj is 6-4-4 in Liga I. That puts them 5th. At home Cluj is WWLLWD (3-1-2) in their last 6 home games (all competitions).  The goal average was 2.5. 4 out of the 6 matches went under 2.5 goals. Cluj managed 3 clean sheets in these 6 matches and scored in 5 out of them. Cluj actually scored 2+ in 4 of the 6.

Cluj is 2nd in group H with 4 points in 3 matches. They started off with a 2-0 robbery win away to Braga before losing 1-2 at home to Manchester United. In the third game so far Cluj played 1-1 away to Galatasaray.

Galatasaray is on top domestically with 6-3-1. Galatasaray is WDLLWD (2-2-2) in their last 6 competitive away games with a goal average of 4.5 goals per game. 4 out of 6 went over 2.5, and Galatasaray scored 3+ in 4 out of 6 as well. They’ve not managed any clean sheets in this fixture interval.

As Galatasaray hasn’t been playing Champions’ League group stage football since 2006 makes the historical results useless for our statistics purpose. However, in this edition of the Champions League; Galatasaray has lost 1-0 away to Man Utd, 0-2 at home versus Braga before getting a draw at home to Cluj last time around. This put Galatasaray last in group H.


Run of play and team news

Cluj usually allow for their opposition to have plenty of ball time in European ties.  When these two clubs met in the last fixture Galatasaray had close to 60% possession. Melo and Elmander are out for Galatasaray, while Aguirregaray is suspended due to his red card in the last match between the two sides. Aguirregaray is on the fringes of the Cluj squad, but the defensive oriented midfielder has taken part in all three of the Cluj Champions League fixtures so far, so he will be missed. More offensive Rafael Bastos might have to sit this one out too.

Even if Melo , who is extremely influential for Galatasaray is out I do still think the visitors will be the team running the game, and Cluj will be going for counter attack style play.  So far they’ve been very successful with that. In their 3 Champions League matches so far they’ve launched only 12 shots on goal, but they have managed 4 goals. Both their draw last time against Galatasaray and the away win to Braga were undeserved in my opinion. Cluj will look to Kapetanos for goals, especially if Rafael Bastos can't play. Cluj in general can create danger with their honed technical skills and ability to go forward at the right time.

Galatasaray have fired 16 shots on goal in their 3 games so far, and only scored 1. That is a pathetic 6.25% conversion rate. It must be said they deserved more against Manchester United, and against Cluj last time around. That Elmander is out weakens the offense for sure, but Yılmaz and Bulut are both very capable strikers, and could play together up front. I am more worried that the offensive support from the midfield is relatively weak. Galatasaray rely too much on their strikers.

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Cluj v Galatasaray predictions: 1x2 preview

Cluj has an impressive defence, one got to give it to them. Galatasaray struggle for goals, here they are further weakened in terms of trickery and conversion. For me: Galatasaray have been underperforming in the above mentioned stats, and Cluj must have over performed slightly. For Galatasaray it's do or die in this tie, so they will have to go forward. Cluj will be fairly happy with a draw, so they can remain in their compact formation. The Galatasaray need to attack also does leave the door open for the home side counter attacks.

I suspect Galatasaray is the better side overall, but away from home against a side that are good at taking their chances looks tough. In a normal setting I would perhaps look at the draw, but since it doesn't really help Galatasaray it feels like the 1 and the 2 is the most interesting. Out of those to the home win odds tempt me the most. Betsson Sportsbook, the huge and extemely safe sportsbook listed in Sweden offers 2.60 for the home win. It's worth giving a try in my opinion. Especially when the risk free €25 mentioned above is factored into the equation.

Click here to go to Betsson to claim €25 risk free and place a bet on Cluj @ 2.60

Cluj - Galatasaray preview: Asian Handicap predictions

Since Galatasaray has struggled to score and Cluj most likely will take it slow there is some risk for a 0-0 draw or 1-1, 2-2 if Galatasaray scores first. Cluj can turn on the style need be. Therefore I like Cluj Draw No Bet (We get a full stake refund if the game ends a draw, and win if Cluj wins. The best price I could find was with 188BET, and it was a good one.

Go to 188BET, and get 1.92 for Cluj (Draw No Bet)

Cluj v Galatasaray predictions: Total Goals preview

I just can't see many good arguments for the over 2.5 goal line. The only scenario would be if Galatasaray could find the back of the net real quick, then either get one more within a short time, or a Cluj equalizer thrown in their lap. That isn't a very likely scenario though, is it? Most likely Cluj will defend well and frustrate the visitors. 1.83 from Betsson looks good. Again, remember the €25 risk free bet. If you bet the 1.83 and lose you can get €25 refunded (see above). 

Get 1.83 on the under 2.5 plus the €25 risk free bet here

Rounding it off

I enjoyed writing this Cluj - Galatasaray preview. I hope you enjoyed the predictions in it. If you want to read more of them, just click here: Betting predictions from Howtobet.net

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