Dortmund v Real Madrid predictions

Match	Date	Selection	Bet	Odds	Bet now
Dortmund v Real Madrid predictions Champions League Uefa, International	24/10/2012 20:45	full time result	Madrid win	2.14	Bet at Pinnacle
Betting prediction was written by Ronny

DORTMUND V REAL MADRID PREDICTIONS AND PREVIEW: STATS AND FACTS

Borussia Dortmund are 3-3-2 in the Bundesliga so far and that slots them in at fourth place. Dortmund have won the Bundesliga two seasons in a row, but seem to hav catched some headwinds this particular season. In their first eight games of the Bundesliga the goal average has been 3.63 goals. In their last six competitive home games Dortmund are 5-0-1 and the goal average has been 3.67 goals per game. As you can see we are dealing with a strong home side. In the Champions League games of 2011 and 2012 Dortmund are 2-1-1. They have beat Ajax and Olympiakos, but have drawn against Arsenal and lost to Marseille. The goal average of those four games was 2.25, and three of the games went under 2.5 goals. So far in this Champions League campaign Dortmund won 1-0 at home against Ajax. In the second game they managed a 1-1 draw away to Manchester City. 

Real Madrid are fourth in the Primera with 4-2-2 in their first eight games. Those eight games have yielded a goal average of 2.88 goals. Their last six competitive away games have gone 2-1-3, but it must be added that they are 0-1-1 against Barcelona in these statistics and that they are undefeated in their last three away games. The last six Real Madrid away games have yielded a goal average of 3.33 goals per game. Four of those six games went over 2.5 goals. In the Champions League Real Madrid are 4-1-1 in their last six away games. The goal average in those six games have been exactly 3 goals, and four of those games went over 2.5 goals. In the Champions League of 2012/2013 Real Madrid have managed a hard fought home win against Manchester City and a 4-1 trashing of Ajax away.

RUN OF PLAY AND TEAM NEWS

This is a game where I do believe Real Madrid will control 52-55% of the action on the pitch. Mourinho has a Real Madrid squad that he can fit into any tactical plot he might want to use. He can sit slightly deeper in order to defend and counter, such as he has done versus Barcelona usually. He can also tell his Real Madrid players to keep hold of the ball, move it around and tire the opposition. Dortmund is a team that is very comfortable with the ball at their feet. The Dortmund style of play has proven very effective in Germany, but they haven't been able to lift their performances on the European scene just yet. Dortmund coach Jurgen Klopp has a great squad by any standard, and offensive players such as Götze, Reus, BÅ‚aszczykowski and Lewandowski do ensure a rich goal return. He will need these players to convert the chances they and their team mates can create with their probable 45% of possession time.

I would want to point out that looking at the team sheet player by player Real Madrid should be able to make Dortmund uncomfortable with their own playing style. Sure the heart of the Dortmund midfield is solid with the likes of Bender, Gündogan and Leitner (depending on who gets the nod), but against the power and ability of Alonso, Essien, Modrić, Özil and Khedira who all can take on central roles I am not so sure they will be allowed to make their mark on the game as much as they would like. That said, there is plenty of promise in this Dortmund side. If the mentioned players have a great night they can upset Real Madrid. 

DORTMUND V REAL MADRID PREDICTIONS: 1X2 BETTING PREVIEW

Even if I really like Dortmund as a team, I can't do anything but recommend the away win. Real Madrid are out of their early season blip, and have shown so far in the Champions League that they can score on their chances and defend like real champions. Even if miracles do happen once in a while I can't see why 2.14 with Pinnacle Sport on Real Madrid shouldn't be a decent bet given my preview so far.

If you agree with my predictions: Take 2.14 with Pinnacle for the away win here

DORTMUND - REAL MADRID PREDICTIONS: ASIAN HANDICAP PREVIEW

I am tempted by the Asian Handicap odds on Real Madrid -0.25. If you aren't familiar with Asian Handicap betting I urge you to read more about this form of handicapping here: Asian Handicap Betting, Handicaps explained. I do think Real Madrid will be giving Dortmund a really difficult night, and Real Madrid should therefore be able to win fairly comfortably. A two goal win is definitely within reach here, and the -0.25 Asian Handicap allows for somewhat of a cushion for the scenario of a draw. The best odds I find is 1.88 with Bet Victor/VC Bet.

If you like this Asian Handicap betting prediction, click here to go to BetVicor/VC Bet now 

DORTMUND - REAL MADRID PREDICTIONS: TOTAL GOALS PREVIEW

I find this one very tough to call even if much point to an over 2.5 goals game. Given the Dortmund results so far in the CHL I think that the skillfull offensive players of Dortmund will have slightly more defensive duties for a game of this importance. Dortmund has been much more compact that we would expect to see them. Against this unbelievably strong Real Madrid team I can't see them going in all guns blazing. In such a setting Dortmund won't be easy to break down for Real Madrid either. I decided to bet a bit on under the 3.25 goals line. This is basically an Asian Handicap type of bet again, so be sure to refer to our Asian Handicap section for information if you are a beginner. This bet looks to cover all angles of my preview and predictions so far. I am confident and I back it with my own money as well.  The odds I took was found at Pinnacle Sports, and it was 1.68.

If you want to follow me on this bet, all you got to do is click here.

DORTMUND v REAL MADRID PREDICTIONS AND PREVIEW: THE END

I hope you have enjoyed reading my preview. I have done my best to bring informed predictions to the table. If you wish to read more betting predictions like this one, we have many of them, and you find them all here: Howtobet.net betting predictions

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