Rosenborg v Metalist predictions

Match	Date	Selection	Bet	Odds	Bet now
Rosenborg v Metalist predictions Europa League Uefa, International	25/10/2012 19:00	full time result	Metalist win	2.48	Bet at Pinnacle
Betting prediction was written by Ronny

ROSENBORG V METALIST PREDICTIONS: STATS AND FACT PREVIEW

Rosenborg is top of the Norwegian Tippeliga with three games to go. 14-10-2 is the score after 26 out of 30 games. The goal average in these games has been 2.62 goals per game. In their last six competitive home games Rosenborg is 4-1-1. The goal average has been three goals per game. Half of these six games went over 2.5 goals. In Europa Rosenborg is 2-3-1 in their last six home games. Four of these six went under 2.5. The goal average was only 1.5 goals per game. So far in the Europa League Rosenborg has won away to Rapid Wien (2-1 in front of empty stands) and lost to Leverkusen at home (0-1).

Metalist is 6-3-3 in their first thirteen games of the Ukrainian Premier League. The goal average has been 2.45 goals per game. Away from home Metalist is 3-2-1 in their last six games. The goal average has been 2.5 goals per game. Half of the six mentioned games went over 2.5 goals. In the Europa League Metalist is 4-1-1 in their last six away games. The goal average has been 2.33 goals per game. Half of the games have gone over 2.5 goals. So far in this edition of the Europa League Metalist has managed a 2-0 win at home versus Rapid Wien, and a 0-0 draw away to Leverkusen.

RUN OF PLAY AND TEAM NEWS

Metalist will probably rotate their squad slightly like they have been for the last couple of Europa League games. That said; they send pure quality. This team is full of South American talent mixed with solid Ukrainian players. Metalist has excellent attacking players in the Brazilian duo Cleiton  and Willian. They are flair players who can decide games on their own. Also the Argentinian Cristaldo and Brazilian Taison are worth mentioning. Rosenborg is a team that can score goals from all over the pitch, and are very much system over individuals. That said Czech wing Dočkal and the Swedish striker Rade Prica are the ones that most often pose a threat to Rosenborg opposition. I’d also like to mention Tarik Elyounoussi who is a tricky attack minded player.

I can definitely see this as a game where none of the teams will have more than 55% of the possession. It will all be a matter of making the possession count. Overall Metalist is the better team, perhaps they’re even the best side of this Europa League group. Rosenborg at Lerkendal with all their European experience is no easy task though, so Metalist must be on their toes throughout the whole game if they are to go home with all the points.

 

ROSENBORG V METALIST PREDICTIONS: 1X2 BETTING PREVIEW

I actually think the fact that Rosenborg went top of the league in Tippeligaen this weekend might be working against them. After chasing Strømsgodset and Molde, going top sure must have felt great. Now they need to tune in for a game against a team that is at least on par with Leverkusen who deservedly won all the points last Europa League round.  For me, the 2.48 odds offered on Metalist don’t make much sense then. Leverkusen was priced much lower when they went to Lerkendal.  The odds of 2.48 is offered by Pinnacle Sports.

If you agree with my predictions you can take 2.48 with Pinnacle here

ROSENBORG - METALIST PREDICTIONS: ASIAN HANDICAP PREVIEW

I said that I do not see any of the teams getting more than 55% possession. Therefore I would look at the Draw No Bet market here as it could be a fairly close match. The 1.77 offered on Betfair currently looks very tempting. Actually I really think this is a very good price. Consider it taken. If you are not familiar with the Asian Handicap concept of "Draw No Bet", don't worry. I have written a piece explaining this for you. You find this guide here: Asian Handicap, Draw No Bet explanation

If you think my preview is correct, go to Betfair and take the juicy 1.77 here

ROSENBORG - METALIST PREDICTIONS: TOTAL GOALS PREVIEW

This looks like a under 2.5 goals game to me. Both sides know how to play the European Cup style of football.  They can stay compact and move forward only when there is a real chance building up. Given a fairly equal possession time as well this could very well be really low scoring. The 2.5 goals line has moved greatly, so there isn’t much value left there. That said, the 2.25 goals line is still quite OK looking. 2.14 with Pinnacle Sports looks like a good bet to me.

If you think I’m onto something, click here to take Pinnacle’s 2.14 for under 2.25 goals

ROSENBORG - METALIST PREDICTIONS AND PREVIEW: FINAL WORDS

I have enjoyed writing this preview. I hope you find my predictions worthwhile. If you’d like to read more betting predictions for the Europa League, simply click here: Europa League predictions

• Bet now at Pinnacle

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