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Real Madrid v Real Zaragoza predictions

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Real Madrid v Real Zaragoza predictions
Primera Division Spain, Spain
03/11/2012
20:00
asian handicap Madrid -2.5 1.94 Bet at Pinnacle
Betting prediction was written by Anton

REAL MADRID V REAL ZARAGOZA PREDICTIONS AND PREVIEW: BETTING STATS AND FACTS

Real Madrid had a torrid start to the season but has found their form since.  They are in 4th place with 17 points from 9 matches but have won 4 of their last 5 matches and have outscored their opponents 16-3 during this run.  They are a huge 8 points behind Barcelona which may be too big a gap to bridge but I would at least expect them to finish a close second by the end of the year. 

Real Zaragoza are in some excellent form themselves and are 9th in la liga with 12 points from 9 games.  They are yet to draw a game with 4 wins and 5 defeats but will be happy as long as they are picking up the points.  Their last 5 matches have seen 3 finish with over 2.5 goals.

TEAM NEWS AND RUN OF PLAY

Real Madrid have picked up a run of injuries with their left backs with Marcelo, Coentrao and Arbeloa all missing.  They have had use to Michael Essien in an unfamiliar position which was a big reason for their Champions League loss to Borussia Dortmund.  They should be able to cope against Real Zaragoza but it will pose a problem against stronger teams unless they can get a natural left back fit again.

Luka Modric is also likely to start in place of the injured Khedira, in a midfield that will be short with Xabi Alonso suspended. 

Zaragoza have been in strong recent form winning 3 matches back to back but they will have their work cut out for them this week.  Striker Helder Postiga will have a lot of work to do as a lone front man and will be the main hope for Zaragoza to add to his 4 goals this season.

REAL MADRID V REAL ZARAGOZA PREDICTIONS: 1X2 BETTING PREVIEW

Madrid are large favourites at home as they are in 90% of matches.  I can’t see anything other than a Madrid win but the odds of 1.12 are just so small I can’t recommend backing them. 

Instead if you think a shock might be on the cards then Betfair are offering a nice 12.4 on the draw.  I don’t expect it to come in but with 1 in 8 odds it’s worth a small speculating bet.

REAL MADRID - REAL ZARAGOZA PREDICTIONS: ASIAN HANDICAP PREVIEW

In Madrid’s last 5 league wins they have won by 3, 2, 4, 2 and 5 goals.  They very rarely win by just a single goal which makes the Asian handicap market a place we can find some nice bets on Madrid.

The AH is set at Madrid -2.5 which means they need to win by 3 clear goals, something they have managed in 3 of their last 5 wins.

If you think they can win this by 3 or more goals then visit Pinnacle to back Madrid -2.5 at 1.94.

REAL MADRID - REAL ZARAGOZA PREDICTIONS: TOTAL GOALS PREVIEW

If I am advocating backing Madrid to win by 3 goals then I’m obviously going to think Over 2.5 Goals is a certainty!  Looking at recent history, Madrid’s last 5 matches have averaged 3.8 goals per game with Zaragoza averaging 2.0 goals.

The odds are pretty tiny but bet365 are top price at 1.29 for Over 2.5 Goals.

REAL MADRID V REAL ZARAGOZA PREDICTIONS AND PREVIEW: THE END

I hope you have found this prediction informative, to read the rest of our la liga predictions along with Europe’s other top leagues, visit us here.

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