Seville v Malaga predictions

Match	Date	Selection	Bet	Odds	Bet now
Seville v Malaga predictions Primera Division Spain, Spain	15/12/2012 22:00	full time result	Draw	3.40	Bet at Betsson
Betting prediction was written by Anton

SEVILLE V MALAGA PREDICTIONS AND PREVIEW: BETTING STATS AND FACTS

Seville are 11^th in la liga with 19 points from 15 games, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 6.  They have scored 1.4 goals per game while conceding 1.47 for a total goal difference of -1.  Their recent form has seen 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 5 matches with an aggregate score of 9-11.  All 5 games went over 2.5 goals.

Malaga are 4^th in la liga with 25 points from 15 matches, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 4.  They have scored 1.53 goals per game and conceded just 0.67 for a total goal difference of +13.  Their recent form has seen 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 with an aggregate score of 9-3.  3 of the 5 games went over 2.5 goals.

TEAM NEWS AND RUN OF PLAY

Seville have had a really poor run of results lately but they coincided with a number of suspensions and injuries.  Last week they had almost a full squad to choose from and managed a 2-2 away draw with Espanyol.  This week again they’ll just be without Maduro and Trochowski who are injured, but otherwise have a full squad to choose from.

Malaga are as fit as they have been all season with just long term injured Baptista and Jeremy Toulalan out this week.  They retook 4^th spot from Betis thanks to an excellent 4-0 home win against Granada and they’ll be keen not to lose it back this week.  They must improve their away form if they are to finish in the champions league spots though, as they have drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 away matches.

SEVILLE V MALAGA PREDICTIONS: 1X2 BETTING PREVIEW

Seville are favourites here despite their lowly league position compared to Malaga.  To understand why, you need to take a look at the home and away record of each team.  Seville have lost just twice at home all season, once to Barcelona, and have won 4.  Malaga away from home have not won in 5 games, scoring just once in a 2-1 defeat.

I think the value here is with the draw.  Betsson are offering a nice 3.40 on the draw so back it there.

SEVILLE V MALAGA PREDICTIONS: ASIAN HANDICAP PREVIEW

If you are leaning towards Malaga but still think there is a high chance of the draw then the Asian Handicap market gives you an excellent option.  You can back Malaga +0.5 which will win whether the match ends in a draw or a Malaga win.

Back Malaga +0.5 with BetVictor at 1.80.

SEVILLE V MALAGA PREDICTIONS: TOTAL GOALS PREVIEW

Seville has seen an average of 4.0 goals per game over their last 5 while Malaga has seen 2.4 over the same period.  Despite these relatively high totals I think this will be a tight low scoring game.

The under is a small favourite here but I still think it offers plenty of value and will be backing it with Pinnacle at 1.90.

SEVILLE V MALAGA PREDICTIONS AND PREVIEW: SUMMING UP

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