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Valencia v Atletico Madrid predictions

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Valencia v Atletico Madrid predictions
Primera Division Spain, Spain
03/11/2012
22:00
full time result Valencia Win 2.62 Bet at William Hill
Betting prediction was written by Anton

VALENCIA V ATLETICO MADRID PREDICTIONS AND PREVIEW: BETTING STATS AND FACTS

Valencia has struggled so far this season and are unlikely to continue their run of 3rd place finishes behind Real Madrid and Barcelona.  They are currently 12th in the table with 11 points from 9 matches with a 3-2-4 record.  They have only scored an average of 1.22 goals which is disappointing compared to their average goals conceded of 1.33.  It is unlikely they can get back to a Champions League spot this year unless things improve drastically and teams ahead of them begin to fall away.  Just 1 of their last 5 la liga matches has ended with over 2.5 goals.

Atletico Madrid is having an amazing season and has kept pace with Barcelona at the top of the table.  They have 25 points from 9 matches with just a lone draw at Levante in week 1 spoiling their record and are 2nd only on goal difference.  They have won 8 league games in a row with a total score of 21-8 and are one of the most in form teams in Europe.  3 of their last 5 games have finished with above 2.5 goals.

TEAM NEWS AND RUN OF PLAY

Valencia came into the season looking to sustain their place as the 3rd best team in Spain behind Barcelona and Real Madrid, and to qualify again for the Champions League.  Their opponents here may well stop them from achieving both of those aims.  It’s inconsistency that has cost Valencia so far this season, they look like a top team at home with 3 wins from 4.  Then their away form is terrible and they have scored just 1 goal in 5 matches, losing 4 of them!  This game will be a huge test of their home form against one of the top sides in the league this year.

Atletico has won their last 13 matches in all competition and look like one of the best sides around.  They are unfortunately not in the Champions League this year and instead will be defending their Europa League win from last season.  They are yet to play Barcelona or Real Madrid which will be their big test but they are odds on to finish in a Champions League place at the minimum.

VALENCIA V ATLETICO MADRID PREDICTIONS: 1X2 BETTING PREVIEW

Valencia are small favourites here thanks to their impressive home form this season.  They do concede goals though which is a worry, letting in 6 in their 4 home games so far but they have also scored 10.

I think William Hill are being too generous offering 2.62 on a Valencia win and will be backing it before it shortens.

VALENCIA - ATLETICO MADRID PREDICTIONS: ASIAN HANDICAP PREVIEW

If you aren’t 100% confident Valencia can get the win but think they are the stronger team at home then the Asian Handicap market allows us to hedge some of the risk.

We can back Valencia +0 which will refund the stake if the match ends in a draw.  188bet are top price for this at 1.87.

VALENCIA - ATLETICO MADRID PREDICTIONS: TOTAL GOALS PREVIEW

Only 1 of Valencia’s last 5 la liga matches have finished with above 2.5 goals.  Atletico has seen more goals with 3 of their last 5 finishing with over 2.5.

The over is a small favourite for this match but I think there is some value in Under 2.5 Goals at 2.09 with Pinnacle.

VALENCIA V ATLETICO MADRID PREDICTIONS AND PREVIEW: THE END

I hope you have found this prediction informative, to read the rest of our la liga predictions along with Europe’s other top leagues, visit us here.

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